Daily Fantasy GPP Picks: 03-06-18

Updated: March 6, 2018 at 5:20 pm by Dylan Berthiaume

With nine games on the slate tonight, there’s too many attractive stacks to cover. Instead, I’ve tried to forecast the most reliable one-off plays on the slate. Good luck!

Steven Stamkos ($7,200)

After being reunited on the top line with Nikita Kucherov, Stamkos went off for 16.5 fantasy points against the Flyers on Saturday, tallying two goals, three assists, and seven shots on goal. The Lightning are expected to roll out the same lineup against the Panthers tonight, with Alex Killorn skating alongside Stamkos and Kucherov. Expect Jon Cooper to use the last change to avoid matching his top line against Aleksander Barkov, leaving the second and third lines of the Panthers to handle the bulk of the even strength minutes against Tampa 1.

Stamkos has proven himself in this exact matchup already this season, registering seven points (2G/5A) in three games against the Panthers this year. To no one’s surprise, Stamkos and Kucherov have been incredibly productive together at 5v5 this year, averaging 33 scoring chances per 60 minutes. It should be much of the same from the two of them tonight, as both lines two and three of Florida surrender scoring chances at above average rates. They’re obviously a prime stacking target tonight, but the high floor in the matchup for Stamkos makes him a formidable cornerstone in any DFS lineup.

Ryan Getzlaf ($6,700)

Getzlaf is red-hot heading into Tuesday’s meeting with the Capitals, registering ten points (2G/8A) in his last five games. His usage has been sky-high of late, playing over 19 minutes in six straight games. It’s given him one of the more reliable floors in DFS, as he’s averaged 2.25 fantasy points from just shots and blocks alone over that stretch. Despite all of this, Getzlaf’s price has inexplicably fallen to $6,700 on DraftKings ahead of a strong home-matchup with the Caps.

Head Coach Randy Carlyle likes to use the last change to find a favourable matchup for the Getzlaf line. Tonight, that comes in the form of the second line for Washington. The combination of Jakub Vrana, Evgeny Kuznetsov, and T.J. Oshie has struggled defensively this season. On average they surrender nearly 30 scoring chances against per 60, and that number rises to the mid-forties when they’re on the road. Anaheim 1 certainly makes for an excellent build tonight, but with his high-usage Getzlaf is a strong one-off play in GPP and cash tournaments alike.

P.K. Subban ($5,900)

Subban took full advantage of teammate Roman Josi being unable to suit up on Sunday, registering one assist, three shots, and three blocks in over 24 minutes of ice time. Josi missed the Preds’ morning skate today and is questionable for tonight’s matchup against the Stars. Unfortunately, we likely won’t have confirmation on his status until warmups (7:30 PM EST), but if he’s unable to go again Subban becomes a lock in both cash and GPP contests.

The Stars offense could be categorized as a one-trick pony, with the bulk of their production coming from Jamie Benn and Tyler Seguin. If Peter Laviolette is without the services of Roman Josi, Subban will almost certainly be tasked with shadowing the Stars’ duo. Not only do those excess minutes bode well for his miscellaneous stats, but Subban has shown the ability to produce in this matchup before, having registered three points (1G/2A) in three games against the Stars already this season.

Subban and the Predators get the added-bonus of facing a fatigued Dallas team, after the Stars fell 3-2 in overtime to the Senators last night. And with Ben Bishop getting the call last night, it will be the lesser Kari Lehtonen in goal tonight. Again, you’ll want to monitor Josi’s status closer to puck-drop if you’re considering spending big on Subban, but if he’s unable to go Subban is almost sure to hit his value.

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Dylan Berthiaume

Dylan has been an Associate Editor of DailyFaceoff since 2018 and a co-host of the DFO Podcast since 2015.

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