Daily Fantasy Hockey Playoff Preview: 04/11/18

Updated: April 11, 2018 at 5:22 pm by Brock Seguin

Each day of the NHL Playoffs, Dylan and Brock will be collaborating on a full preview of that night’s playoff action. Dylan will break down each game from a Daily Fantasy Hockey perspective, giving you some of his favourite targets. Brock will provide his Daily Fantasy Notebook after morning skates, including Projected Lineups, Injury Updates, Goalie Rankings and DFS Value Plays. Enjoy playoff hockey and the best time of the year!


By: Dylan Berthiaume

Penguins vs. Flyers [Game 1]

The Penguins’ top-end talent is so spread out across their top nine that powerplay stacking them has become the recommended play in DFS this season, and that should certainly ring true for the entirety of this series. The Penguins finished the 2017-18 regular season with the league’s top powerplay, converting on 26.2% of their opportunities. Inversely, the Flyers had the third worst penalty kill in the league and the worst among playoff teams, killing off just 75.8% of their penalties. Much of that was driven by an abysmal .812 shorthanded SV% from Brian Elliot ($7,200), who is expected to get the call tonight. If you’re looking to stack the Penguins at all this series you’re going to want to own as much of that top powerplay unit as possible.

While the Flyers do not have the depth to match up against the second and third lines of the Penguins, their top line is as strong as any in the league and their production will go a long way in deciding the outcome of this series. Michael Raffl ($4,000) is expected to occupy the right-wing slot alongside Claude Giroux ($6,700) and Sean Couturier ($6,300), a spot that’s more commonly been filled by Travis Konecny ($4,900) this season. Most DFS players would feel a lot more comfortable stacking Philadelphia 1 with Konecny, but Giroux and Couturier are the drivers of this line’s production and their numbers haven’t waivered with Raffl. Their 55.83 CF% and 61.54 GF% with Raffl are right on par with their season-long averages, and their 32 scoring chances per 60 with Raffl is actually a touch above their rates without him. Don’t let Raffl deter you from using what’s been a very reliable line stack all season long; take advantage of the value he adds to this build.

Jets vs. Wild [Game 1]

The Jets come into the series as the heavy favourite having defeated the Wild 3-1 in their season series, outscoring them by a total of 14-10 in the process. The two teams have not played since the Jets acquired Paul Stastny ($5,200) on February 26th. Acquiring Stastny allowed the Jets to balance out their offense and roll three potent lines, drastically changing how opposing teams need to match up against them. As a result, the line matching for game 1 becomes harder to forecast, but with the last change at his disposal you can expect Paul Maurice to avoid matching his top line against Minnesota 1 as much as possible. The matchups will likely play out much differently in Minnesota, but with all of this in mind the Jets’ top line of Kyle Connor ($6,000), Mark Scheifele ($6,600), and Blake Wheeler ($6,600) becomes the premier stacking target in tonight’s contest. The three of them average over 30 scoring chances per 60 together and their production should be unimpeded so long as their up against the depth of the Wild.

I would advise against stacking the Wild until the series heads back to Minnesota where Bruce Boudreau can better control the line matching. This is a series that’s inevitably tilting in the Jets’ favour, and I would be much more inclined to stack Winnipeg 2 in the first two games of the series before I consider playing the Wild’s top line in Winnipeg. The Jets’ blueline offers a plethora of decent value plays, but as always, Dustin Byfuglien ($5,400) holds the highest ceiling tonight as he mans the point on the top powerplay unit.

Golden Knights vs. Kings [Game 1]

Regardless of where the games are played in this one, you can expect Vegas and LA’s top lines to be hard-matched against each other for the duration of the series. Both are as reliable defensively as they are offensively, and as a result I’m expecting this matchup to be a wash at 5v5. Each line will have to rely on their powerplay time for the bulk of their production which is always much less reliable on a game-to-game basis than 5v5 production, especially when considering both teams possess elite penalty-killing units. On a whole, the Golden Knights and Kings project to be one of the lowest-scoring series of the first round, and it would be wise to avoid them all together.

While much of the star power on either team should be mitigated in this series, there are some decent value stacks to be found on both rosters. Most notably, the Kings’ second line has posted solid even strength production since the return of Jeff Carter ($5,800), averaging nearly 30 scoring chances per 60. They offer tremendous value at just $12,600 for the full build on DraftKings, and Carter’s presence on the top powerplay unit brings added compatibility to a full stack featuring either Dion Phaneuf ($4,000) or Drew Doughty ($5,200).


By: Brock Seguin

Injury Updates

In

– Jacob Trouba (undisclosed) will be back in the Jets lineup for Game 1.

Game-Time Decision

– Derick Brassard (lower-body) will be a game-time decision for Game 1.
– Jared Spurgeon (hamstring) will be a game-time decision for Game 1.
– Jake Muzzin (upper-body) is doubtful for Game 1.
-Alex Iaffallo (upper-body) is expected to be on the Kings first line for Game 1.

Out

– Ryan Suter is out indefinitely following ankle surgery.
– David Perron (undisclosed) will not be available for Game 1.
– Luca Sbisa (undisclosed) will not be available for Game 1.

Projected Lineups

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Philadelphia Flyers

Pittsburgh Penguins Philadelphia Flyers
LW C RW
Jake Guentzel
JAKE GUENTZEL

Rating: 76.8#67 LW

Sidney Crosby
SIDNEY CROSBY

Rating: 84.3#5 C

Bryan Rust
BRYAN RUST

Rating: 74.5#65 RW

Carl Hagelin
CARL HAGELIN

Rating: 72.6#109 LW

Evgeni Malkin
EVGENI MALKIN

Rating: 85.1#3 C

Patric Hornqvist
PATRIC HORNQVIST

Rating: 79.7#13 RW

Conor Sheary
CONOR SHEARY

Rating: 73.4#97 LW

Derick Brassard
DERICK BRASSARD

Rating: 76.2#77 C

Phil Kessel
PHIL KESSEL

Rating: 78.9#17 RW

Tom Kuhnhackl
TOM KUHNHACKL

Rating: 68.2#211 LW

Riley Sheahan
RILEY SHEAHAN

Rating: 70.6#232 C

Zach Aston-Reese
ZACH ASTON-REESE

Rating: 73.0#92 RW

DEFENSIVE PAIRINGS
Brian Dumoulin
BRIAN DUMOULIN

Rating: 73.3#66 LD

Kris Letang
KRIS LETANG

Rating: 81.6#5 RD

Olli Maatta
OLLI MAATTA

Rating: 73.5#60 LD

Justin Schultz
JUSTIN SCHULTZ

Rating: 76.0#40 RD

Matt Hunwick
MATT HUNWICK

Rating: 71.7#113 LD

Jamie Oleksiak
JAMIE OLEKSIAK

Rating: 71.7#101 RD

LW C RW
Claude Giroux
CLAUDE GIROUX

Rating: 80.8#8 LW

Sean Couturier
SEAN COUTURIER

Rating: 79.0#38 C

Michael Raffl
MICHAEL RAFFL

Rating: 71.6#122 RW

Oskar Lindblom
OSKAR LINDBLOM

Rating: 72.2#123 LW

Nolan Patrick
NOLAN PATRICK

Rating: 73.1#142 C

Jakub Voracek
JAKUB VORACEK

Rating: 77.3#30 RW

Travis Konecny
TRAVIS KONECNY

Rating: 75.2#96 LW

Valtteri Filppula
VALTTERI FILPPULA

Rating: 69.7#251 C

Wayne Simmonds
WAYNE SIMMONDS

Rating: 75.2#53 RW

Scott Laughton
SCOTT LAUGHTON

Rating: 69.2#201 LW

Jori Lehtera
JORI LEHTERA

Rating: 68.6#268 C

Matt Read
MATT READ

Rating: 70.3#154 RW

DEFENSIVE PAIRINGS
Ivan Provorov
IVAN PROVOROV

Rating: 75.9#35 LD

Shayne Gostisbehere
SHAYNE GOSTISBEHERE

Rating: 79.6#7 RD

Travis Sanheim
TRAVIS SANHEIM

Rating: 70.8#144 LD

Andrew MacDonald
ANDREW MACDONALD

Rating: 72.1#93 RD

Brandon Manning
BRANDON MANNING

Rating: 71.6#122 LD

Radko Gudas
RADKO GUDAS

Rating: 72.9#75 RD

Winnipeg Jets vs. Minnesota Wild

Winnipeg Jets Minnesota Wild
LW C RW
Kyle Connor
KYLE CONNOR

Rating: 77.4#30 LW

Mark Scheifele
MARK SCHEIFELE

Rating: 80.4#27 C

Blake Wheeler
BLAKE WHEELER

Rating: 82.2#7 RW

Nikolaj Ehlers
NIKOLAJ EHLERS

Rating: 76.4#39 LW

Paul Stastny
PAUL STASTNY

Rating: 74.7#103 C

Patrik Laine
PATRIK LAINE

Rating: 82.4#5 RW

Mathieu Perreault
MATHIEU PERREAULT

Rating: 74.6#106 LW

Bryan Little
BRYAN LITTLE

Rating: 73.3#135 C

Joel Armia
JOEL ARMIA

Rating: 70.9#137 RW

Andrew Copp
ANDREW COPP

Rating: 71.8#132 LW

Adam Lowry
ADAM LOWRY

Rating: 74.2#117 C

Brandon Tanev
BRANDON TANEV

Rating: 71.0#134 RW

DEFENSIVE PAIRINGS
Josh Morrissey
JOSH MORRISSEY

Rating: 73.7#51 LD

Jacob Trouba
JACOB TROUBA

Rating: 78.3#25 RD

Joe Morrow
JOE MORROW

Rating: 71.2#133 LD

Dustin Byfuglien
DUSTIN BYFUGLIEN

Rating: 79.9#19 RD

Ben Chiarot
BEN CHIAROT

Rating: 70.6#154 LD

Tyler Myers
TYLER MYERS

Rating: 74.8#52 RD

LW C RW
Jason Zucker
JASON ZUCKER

Rating: 78.2#22 LW

Eric Staal
ERIC STAAL

Rating: 79.9#29 C

Nino Niederreiter
NINO NIEDERREITER

Rating: 75.1#55 RW

Zach Parise
ZACH PARISE

Rating: 76.2#45 LW

Mikko Koivu
MIKKO KOIVU

Rating: 73.8#125 C

Mikael Granlund
MIKAEL GRANLUND

Rating: 77.9#51 RW

Jordan Greenway
JORDAN GREENWAY

Rating: 72.0#128 LW

Matt Cullen
MATT CULLEN

Rating: 70.8#222 C

Charlie Coyle
CHARLIE COYLE

Rating: 71.9#194 RW

Marcus Foligno
MARCUS FOLIGNO

Rating: 70.4#169 LW

Joel Eriksson Ek
JOEL ERIKSSON EK

Rating: 70.6#230 C

Daniel Winnik
DANIEL WINNIK

Rating: 70.6#148 RW

DEFENSIVE PAIRINGS
Jonas Brodin
JONAS BRODIN

Rating: 73.6#58 LD

Mathew Dumba
MATHEW DUMBA

Rating: 77.3#30 RD

Carson Soucy
CARSON SOUCY

Rating: 72.2#99 LD

Jared Spurgeon
JARED SPURGEON

Rating: 77.7#26 RD

Nick Seeler
NICK SEELER

Rating: 71.9#109 LD

Nate Prosser
NATE PROSSER

Rating: 69.5#145 RD

Vegas Golden Knights vs. Los Angeles Kings

Vegas Golden Knights Los Angeles Kings
LW C RW
Jonathan Marchessault
JONATHAN MARCHESSAULT

Rating: 81.8#15 LW

William Karlsson
WILLIAM KARLSSON

Rating: 80.5#24 C

Reilly Smith
REILLY SMITH

Rating: 78.8#19 RW

James Neal
JAMES NEAL

Rating: 74.4#76 LW

Erik Haula
ERIK HAULA

Rating: 75.1#101 C

Alex Tuch
ALEX TUCH

Rating: 73.9#79 RW

Tomas Tatar
TOMAS TATAR

Rating: 72.7#103 LW

Cody Eakin
CODY EAKIN

Rating: 69.7#250 C

Ryan Carpenter
RYAN CARPENTER

Rating: 71.5#208 RW

Tomas Nosek
TOMAS NOSEK

Rating: 69.4#196 LW

Pierre-Édouard Bellemare
PIERRE-ÉDOUARD BELLEMARE

Rating: 69.6#253 C

Will Carrier
WILL CARRIER

Rating: 70.6#146 RW

DEFENSIVE PAIRINGS
Nate Schmidt
NATE SCHMIDT

Rating: 75.6#37 LD

Brayden McNabb
BRAYDEN MCNABB

Rating: 73.3#66 RD

Deryk Engelland
DERYK ENGELLAND

Rating: 72.1#103 LD

Shea Theodore
SHEA THEODORE

Rating: 76.0#34 RD

Jon Merrill
JON MERRILL

Rating: 69.1#168 LD

Colin Miller
COLIN MILLER

Rating: 75.8#42 RD

LW C RW
Alex Iafallo
ALEX IAFALLO

Rating: 70.9#152 LW

Anze Kopitar
ANZE KOPITAR

Rating: 82.4#13 C

Dustin Brown
DUSTIN BROWN

Rating: 78.6#21 RW

Tobias Rieder
TOBIAS RIEDER

Rating: 71.1#148 LW

Jeff Carter
JEFF CARTER

Rating: 79.4#36 C

Tyler Toffoli
TYLER TOFFOLI

Rating: 75.0#57 RW

Tanner Pearson
TANNER PEARSON

Rating: 74.7#63 LW

Adrian Kempe
ADRIAN KEMPE

Rating: 71.4#210 C

Trevor Lewis
TREVOR LEWIS

Rating: 71.5#125 RW

Kyle Clifford
KYLE CLIFFORD

Rating: 69.8#188 LW

Nate Thompson
NATE THOMPSON

Rating: 68.1#276 C

Torrey Mitchell
TORREY MITCHELL

Rating: 69.0#174 RW

DEFENSIVE PAIRINGS
Oscar Fantenberg
OSCAR FANTENBERG

Rating: 72.2#95 LD

Drew Doughty
DREW DOUGHTY

Rating: 81.5#7 RD

Alec Martinez
ALEC MARTINEZ

Rating: 75.1#39 LD

Christian Folin
CHRISTIAN FOLIN

Rating: 71.1#120 RD

Dion Phaneuf
DION PHANEUF

Rating: 72.7#84 LD

Paul Ladue
PAUL LADUE

Rating: 73.9#61 RD

Goalie Rankings

✅ – Confirmed
🅿️ – Probable
🅾️ – Projected

BROCK SEGUIN DYLAN BERTHIAUME
1. Connor Hellebuyck (vs. MIN)
✅ [$8,400]
1 1
2. Matt Murray (vs. PHI)
✅ [$8,000]
2 2
t-3. Jonathan Quick (@ VGK)
✅ [$7,400]
4 3
t-3. Marc-Andre Fleury  (vs. LAK)
✅ [$8,200]
3 4
t-5. Devan Dubnyk (@ WPG)
✅ [$7,100]
5 6
t-5. Brian Elliott (@ PIT)
✅ [$7,200]
6 5

Value Plays

BROCK SEGUIN DYLAN BERTHIAUME
FORWARD Mathieu Perreault ($3,800) Michael Raffl ($4,000)
DEFENSEMAN Justin Schultz ($4,000) Dion Phaneuf ($4,000)
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Brock Seguin

Brock has been the Editor-In-Chief of DailyFaceoff.com since the start of the 2012-13 season, the Host of the DFO Podcast since 2015 and Editor-In-Chief of DailyDugout since the 2017 season.
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