Daily NHL Betting Guide: October 27
Getting a little skin in the game can make watching NHL hockey even more exciting.
During the 2021-22 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor thanks to this betting model and our betting tools.
Each day we will look at each game, the Sportsbook Odds (via PointsBet), and the odds of each team winning based on the model created by Philip Bulsink. Based on those two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams we need to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to keep an eye on throughout the day.
You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:
All “Recommended Bets” are 1 unit wagers.
I will also provide some analysis on the best bets and update this post throughout the day to point out big injury news, lineup changes, and backup goalies starting.
The number to keep an eye on is the “Diff.” which is the percentage difference between the model’s projected Win% and the projected Win% based on PointsBet odds. To find out how odds turn into percentages, use our Odds Calculator.
October 27th, 2021
Recommended Bets
Washington Capitals (vs. DET)
The Red Wings had a strong showing in Chicago on Sunday but that doesn’t carry much water right now. Detroit is undoubtedly an improved team this season, but it is running into a buzzsaw in Washington this evening. The Capitals have yet to lose in regulation this season and seem to be scoring at will. Alex Ovechkin is in a familiar spot atop the NHL’s goal-scoring race and it will be difficult for Detroit’s 25th ranked penalty kill to slow him down tonight.
Washington are massive favorites, the largest on the slate at -200. However, the model believes it’s even more lopsided than that.
1 Unit Bet: WSH -200
Proceed with Caution ⚠️
Chicago Blackhawks (vs. TOR)
The model sees some value in the Blackhawks at +150, partly due to the Maple Leafs’ struggles so far. However, what the model doesn’t see is that Patrick Kane, Jonathan Toews, Henrik Borgstrom, Riley Stillman and Jujhar Khaira are all in COVID-19 protocol. Meanwhile, the Maple Leafs come in with a clean bill of health and absolutely desperate for a win. They continue to lead the NHL in xGF, Scoring Chances For and are second in High-Danger Chances For at 5v5… eventually, the levee is going to break. No team has scored fewer goals below expected than Toronto, so Chicago is absolutely not in play for me tonight.
2021-22 Season Record
- Record: 9-6
- Units: +1.43
- ROI: +9.53%