Power Play Stacking: Nov 8th

Power Play Stacking: Nov 8th

This is a new weekly free article, looking at special teams to find some power play stacks every Monday and Wednesday.

For Premium members that read the Line-Matching articles, this may help find more of an edge when coupled with 5v5 play.


New York Rangers vs. Boston Bruins

StatsBostonNY Rangers
PP Time/Game 5:34 (19th) 6:34 (5th)
PK Time/Game 6:33 (25th) 5:19 (7th)
PP Shot Rate (/60) 54.71 (17th) 59.81 (9th)
PK Shot Allowed Rate 49.23 (4th) 54.96 (14th)
PP HD Chance Rate 18.24 (21st) 21.65 (15th)
PK HD Chance Allowed Rate 15.47 (2nd) 29.59 (28th)
PK HD Save % 88.76% 82.98%
Conclusion: The NYR power play has drawn lots of penalties and has above average shot rates, but Boston has been very effective at limiting shots and high-danger chances on the penalty kill. They also have one of the better goalies at saving high-danger chances in Tuukka Rask (best on the slate by a mile). Rask does struggle at low-danger chances so if using Rangers, make sure to use Kevin Shattenkirk or Mika Zibanejad for point shots.

On the Bruins side, they’ll have a tough time drawing calls as the Rangers have been very effective at limiting PK time. When on the penalty kill though, their high-danger chance against rate coupled with the poor HDSV% of Henrik Lundqvist help make BOS a dangerous option on a short slate. They may not get many pucks to the net – they’re middle of the pack in shot generation on the power play while the Rangers are middle of the pack at defending it – but rebounds in close will have a great chance to end up in the back of the net. Looking at stacking a winger (DeBrusk or Pastrnak) with the main shooting threat from the point (Torey Krug) would be the play if going to Boston.

Of the two options in this game, the Bruins are more appealing as their effectiveness at limiting shots and chances against is more sustainable and less random than penalties drawn/taken.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Minnesota Wild

StatsMinnesotaToronto
PP Time/Game 5:01 (29th) 5:20 (26th)
PK Time/Game 6:08 (18th) 5:46 (12th)
PP Shot Rate (/60) 49.62 (23rd) 61.09 (7th)
PK Shot Allowed Rate 56.32 (15th) 57.2 (18th)
PP HD Chance Rate 20.21 (17th) 39.32 (1st)
PK HD Chance Allowed Rate 21.78 (15th) 18.2 (6th)
PK HD Save % 78.16% 81.82%
Conclusion: Toronto’s power play numbers will look a little different without Auston Matthews on the ice, but the first unit (as listed in our Line Combinations) are hitting 66HDCF/60 together and firing 94.05SF/60. That’s an incredible rate, especially compared to the poor work of the second unit who are firing 46SF/60 and only 14.45HDCF/60. Against a Wild team that are middle of the pack in terms of HD chances and shots allowed, that would still make TORPP1 a very interesting line to look at, but Devan Dubnyk is absolutely atrocious at high-danger chances (worst on the slate).

The Minnesota power play tonight will struggle against a team’s PK that’s been very successful at not allowing in-tight rebounds and HD shots, with the caveat being that Fredrik Andersen struggles incredibly on shots from the point. Both Minnesota units should see close to equal time tonight and both stay together at 5v5 which makes them attractive, but they wouldn’t be high on the list of teams to look at today (even on a three-game slate). Using Ryan Suter or any of the other D – which includes cheap Mike Reilly and Matt Dumba – would be key.

San Jose Sharks vs. Tampa Bay Lightning

StatsTampa BaySan Jose
PP Time/Game 6:18 (9th) 7:00 (3rd)
PK Time/Game 6:33 (25th) 6:25 (20th)
PP Shot Rate (/60) 62.09 (5th) 47.44 (28th)
PK Shot Allowed Rate 49.4 (5th) 56.82 (16th)
PP HD Chance Rate 27.88 (5th) 16.47 (26th)
PK HD Chance Allowed Rate 20.13 (11th) 18.7 (9th)
PK HD Save % 83.87% 83.76%
Conclusion: Besides taking too many penalties, the Lightning’s special teams play on both sides of the puck has been tremendous. Their PK shots allowed matches very well against a Sharks team that somehow is 28th in PP shot generation (after being 16th last year), and Andrei Vasilevsky has been excellent on PK. For as talented as that SJSPP1 unit should be, their numbers to date have been disappointing, possibly due to Patrick Marleau departing for Tim Heed. Don’t expect much from the Sharks’ PP tonight.

The Sharks will also be in tough against the Lightning’s power play who have generated a ton of shots and HD chances so far, while also drawing a decent amount of penalties. Although SJS are very effective at shutting down HD chances and Martin Jones has been good, they’re overmatched tonight.

 


Power Plays to Target
1) TORPP1
2) TBPP1
3) BOSPP1
4) MINPP2 (ownership)

 

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