Brock Seguin’s fantasy hockey top 250 playoff rankings: Full Projections

Brock Seguin’s fantasy hockey top 250 playoff rankings: Full Projections

Just when you thought the Fantasy Hockey season was done, it’s Playoff Pool time!

NHL Playoff pools are unique because the quality of the team a player plays for can be more important than the individual’s production level. For example, 20 games of Teuvo Teravainen will likely be more productive than the six games of Kevin Fiala, should the Hurricanes make a run to the Stanley Cup Finals and the Kings get bounced in the first round.

To help identify the best players for the 2024 NHL Playoffs, I used the betting odds to create probabilities of each team advancing through each round. I created “expected games played” for each team using those probabilities. Once you have expected games played, I plugged it into my regular season projections model to generate projections for every skater in the postseason. I used the same probabilities to help generate team goalie projections as well.

The rankings below are based on the following pool format and scoring system:

  • 12 Teams
  • 10 Skaters
  • 1 Team Goalie
  • Goal: 1 Point
  • Assist: 1 Point
  • Team Win: 1 Point

Team Probabilities

Skaters

RankPlayerTeamPosGamesGAPts
1Connor McDavidEDMF12.06.413.620.0
2Nathan MacKinnonCOLF11.26.310.717.1
3Artemi PanarinNYRF13.05.810.716.5
4Leon DraisaitlEDMF12.06.79.516.2
5Matthew TkachukFLAF12.04.89.214.0
6Jake GuentzelCARF13.46.07.813.7
7Mikko RantanenCOLF11.26.07.713.7
8Nikita KucherovTBLF8.94.19.413.5
9David PastrnakBOSF10.86.57.013.5
10Sebastian AhoCARF13.46.07.313.3
11Aleksander BarkovFLAF12.04.39.013.2
12J.T. MillerVANF11.14.58.012.5
13Mika ZibanejadNYRF13.04.77.512.2
14Cale MakarCOLD11.23.19.012.2
15Auston MatthewsTORF9.87.05.112.1
16Adam FoxNYRD13.02.49.612.0
17Jason RobertsonDALF11.34.97.011.9
18Elias PetterssonVANF11.14.67.111.7
19Mitch MarnerTORF9.83.78.011.7
20Sam ReinhartFLAF12.06.25.511.7
21Andrei SvechnikovCARF13.44.46.811.2
22Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDMF12.03.37.811.1
23Quinn HughesVAND11.11.69.310.9
24Vincent TrocheckNYRF13.03.67.310.9
25Zach HymanEDMF12.06.34.610.9
26Seth JarvisCARF13.45.25.410.6
27Chris KreiderNYRF13.06.24.310.6
28William NylanderTORF9.84.46.010.4
29Carter VerhaegheFLAF12.05.15.110.1
30Valeri NichushkinCOLF11.24.55.39.8
31Roope HintzDALF11.34.75.09.7
32Joe PavelskiDALF11.33.66.09.6
33Brad MarchandBOSF10.83.65.89.4
34Matt DucheneDALF11.33.85.49.3
35Brayden PointTBLF8.94.74.59.2
36Kyle ConnorWPGF9.74.54.79.2
37Steven StamkosTBLF8.94.15.19.2
38Martin NecasCARF13.43.85.39.1
39Filip ForsbergNSHF9.04.54.69.1
40Jack EichelVGKF9.64.15.09.1
41Miro HeiskanenDALD11.31.47.58.9
42Mark ScheifeleWPGF9.73.84.98.7
43Roman JosiNSHD9.02.46.38.7
44Evan BouchardEDMD12.01.96.88.7
45Teuvo TeravainenCARF13.43.55.28.6
46Wyatt JohnstonDALF11.34.24.38.6
47Brock BoeserVANF11.14.14.58.5
48Vladimir TarasenkoFLAF12.03.74.88.5
49John TavaresTORF9.83.64.88.4
50Jamie BennDALF11.33.25.18.3
51Mark StoneVGKF9.62.95.48.3
52Artturi LehkonenCOLF11.23.74.58.2
53Kevin FialaLAKF8.72.95.08.0
54Brent BurnsCARD13.41.96.07.9
55Evander KaneEDMF12.04.33.47.7
56Casey MittelstadtCOLF11.22.25.47.6
57Josh MorrisseyWPGD9.71.46.27.6
58Tyler SeguinDALF11.33.54.17.6
59Alexis LafrenièreNYRF13.03.54.17.6
60Pavel ZachaBOSF10.82.74.97.5
61Jonathan MarchessaultVGKF9.64.13.47.5
62Nikolaj EhlersWPGF9.73.04.57.5
63Victor HedmanTBLD8.91.46.17.5
64Shea TheodoreVGKD9.61.26.27.4
65Adam HenriqueEDMF12.03.73.77.4
66Brandon HagelTBLF8.92.94.57.3
67Sam BennettFLAF12.03.43.87.2
68Brandon MontourFLAD12.01.75.57.2
69Adrian KempeLAKF8.73.53.77.2
70Anze KopitarLAKF8.72.64.67.2
71Charlie McAvoyBOSD10.81.45.87.2
72Elias LindholmVANF11.12.44.77.1
73Morgan RiellyTORD9.80.86.27.1
74Devon ToewsCOLD11.21.55.67.0
75Tyler ToffoliWPGF9.73.63.47.0
76Tomas HertlVGKF9.62.94.06.9
77Chandler StephensonVGKF9.62.04.86.8
78Jack RoslovicNYRF13.02.14.76.8
79Mason MarchmentDALF11.32.74.16.8
80Brady SkjeiCARD13.42.24.66.8
81William KarlssonVGKF9.62.84.06.7
82Jonathan DrouinCOLF11.21.84.96.7
83Gabriel VilardiWPGF9.73.92.76.6
84Charlie CoyleBOSF10.82.64.06.6
85Viktor ArvidssonLAKF8.72.73.96.6
86Alex OvechkinWSHF7.23.43.16.6
87Mathew BarzalNYIF7.41.84.76.6
88Evgeny KuznetsovCARF13.41.84.76.5
89Gustav NyquistNSHF9.02.24.36.4
90Ryan O’ReillyNSHF9.02.63.76.3
91Logan StankovenDALF11.32.73.66.3
92Tommy NovakNSHF9.02.53.76.2
93Jake DeBruskBOSF10.83.23.06.2
94Conor GarlandVANF11.12.43.76.1
95Filip HronekVAND11.10.95.26.1
96Brock NelsonNYIF7.43.13.06.1
97Evan RodriguesFLAF12.02.23.86.0
98Aaron EkbladFLAD12.01.74.36.0
99Sean MonahanWPGF9.72.43.65.9
100Bo HorvatNYIF7.43.12.85.9
101Thomas HarleyDALD11.31.54.45.9
102Stefan NoesenCARF13.42.23.75.9
103Tyler BertuzziTORF9.82.43.45.8
104Max DomiTORF9.81.54.25.8
105Anton LundellFLAF12.02.23.65.7
106Gustav ForslingFLAD12.01.64.15.7
107Jaccob SlavinCARD13.41.04.65.6
108Mattias EkholmEDMD12.01.44.25.6
109Erik GustafssonNYRD13.01.04.65.6
110Dylan StromeWSHF7.22.13.55.6
111Alex PietrangeloVGKD9.61.04.55.5
112Quinton ByfieldLAKF8.72.13.45.5
113Pierre-Luc DuboisLAKF8.72.33.15.4
114Drew DoughtyLAKD8.71.34.15.4
115Ivan BarbashevVGKF9.62.23.25.4
116Dmitry OrlovCARD13.41.34.15.4
117Jesperi KotkaniemiCARF13.42.33.15.4
118Noah DobsonNYID7.41.04.35.4
119James van RiemsdykBOSF10.81.83.55.3
120Alex WennbergNYRF13.01.73.55.3
121Darnell NurseEDMD12.01.53.75.2
122Phillip DanaultLAKF8.72.03.25.2
123Jordan StaalCARF13.42.23.05.2
124Ilya MikheyevVANF11.12.13.05.2
125Warren FoegeleEDMF12.02.42.75.1
126Noah HanifinVGKD9.61.23.95.1
127Trevor MooreLAKF8.72.32.75.1
128K’Andre MillerNYRD13.01.33.85.1
129Cole PerfettiWPGF9.71.93.15.0
130Hampus LindholmBOSD10.80.84.25.0
131Anthony ManthaVGKF9.62.32.65.0
132Ross ColtonCOLF11.22.42.64.9
133John CarlsonWSHD7.21.23.74.9
134Nicolas RoyVGKF9.61.83.14.9
135Anthony DuclairTBLF8.92.32.64.9
136Morgan GeekieBOSF10.81.92.94.8
137Kaapo KakkoNYRF13.02.62.34.8
138Jordan MartinookCARF13.42.02.84.8
139Max PaciorettyWSHF7.21.73.04.7
140Luke EvangelistaNSHF9.02.02.64.7
141Jack DruryCARF13.41.43.34.7
142Anthony CirelliTBLF8.91.92.74.6
143Trent FredericBOSF10.82.32.44.6
144Oliver Ekman-LarssonFLAD12.00.93.74.6
145Nino NiederreiterWPGF9.72.52.04.5
146Jacob TroubaNYRD13.01.03.64.5
147Corey PerryEDMF12.02.32.24.5
148Dakota JoshuaVANF11.12.42.14.5
149Eetu LuostarinenFLAF12.01.82.64.5
150Ryan McLeodEDMF12.01.92.54.4
151Danton HeinenBOSF10.82.02.44.4
152Jason ZuckerNSHF9.02.12.24.3
153Kyle PalmieriNYIF7.42.22.14.3
154Calle JarnkrokTORF9.82.12.24.3
155Nils HoglanderVANF11.12.31.94.2
156Nick PaulTBLF8.92.22.04.2
157Pius SuterVANF11.12.12.14.2
158Samuel GirardCOLD11.20.73.44.1
159Matthew KniesTORF9.81.82.34.1
160Alex IafalloWPGF9.71.72.44.1
161Kevin ShattenkirkBOSD10.80.93.24.0
162Jimmy VeseyNYRF13.01.92.14.0
163Tom WilsonWSHF7.22.11.83.9
164Zach PariseCOLF11.22.01.93.9
165Teddy BluegerVANF11.11.02.93.9
166Mason AppletonWPGF9.71.42.43.8
167Vladislav NamestnikovWPGF9.71.32.53.8
168Neal PionkWPGD9.70.73.13.8
169Anders LeeNYIF7.42.11.73.8
170Adam LowryWPGF9.71.42.33.7
171Sam SteelDALF11.31.32.43.7
172Sean WalkerCOLD11.21.32.43.7
173Miles WoodCOLF11.21.52.23.7
174T.J. OshieWSHF7.21.81.93.7
175Josh MansonCOLD11.20.92.73.6
176Brett PesceCARD13.40.82.83.6
177Michael AmadioVGKF9.61.91.53.5
178Kiefer SherwoodNSHF9.01.51.93.4
179Darren RaddyshTBLD8.90.62.83.4
180Colton SissonsNSHF9.01.32.13.4
181Sonny MilanoWSHF7.21.71.73.4
182Timothy LiljegrenTORD9.80.72.73.4
183Barclay GoodrowNYRF13.01.22.23.4
184Sam LaffertyVANF11.11.61.73.4
185Esa LindellDALD11.30.82.63.4
186Jean-Gabriel PageauNYIF7.41.22.23.4
187Jalen ChatfieldCARD13.41.32.03.3
188Jesper BoqvistBOSF10.81.51.83.3
189Cody CeciEDMD12.00.52.73.3
190Jake McCabeTORD9.80.72.63.3
191Will CuylleNYRF13.02.01.23.2
192Ryan McDonaghNSHD9.00.32.93.2
193Tyler MyersVAND11.10.42.83.2
194Dylan DeMeloWPGD9.70.42.73.1
195Nick CousinsFLAF12.01.31.83.1
196Dmitry KulikovFLAD12.00.52.63.1
197Pontus HolmbergTORF9.81.21.93.1
198Mark JankowskiNSHF9.01.51.63.1
199Vladislav GavrikovLAKD8.70.92.13.0
200Hendrix LapierreWSHF7.21.11.93.0
201Ryan LindgrenNYRD13.00.42.53.0
202Ryan SuterDALD11.30.42.52.9
203Braden SchneiderNYRD13.00.72.22.9
204Brett KulakEDMD12.00.62.32.9
205Nikita ZadorovVAND11.11.11.82.9
206TJ BrodieTORD9.80.22.62.9
207Connor McMichaelWSHF7.21.61.32.8
208Pat MaroonBOSF10.80.92.02.8
209Craig SmithDALF11.31.61.22.8
210Pierre EngvallNYIF7.41.21.62.8
211Yakov TreninCOLF11.21.81.02.8
212Chris TanevDALD11.30.32.42.7
213Vasily PodkolzinVANF11.11.41.32.7
214Radek FaksaDALF11.31.11.62.7
215Jordan SpenceLAKD8.70.32.42.7
216Andrew CoglianoCOLF11.21.11.62.7
217Matt GrzelcykBOSD10.80.42.22.7
218David KampfTORF9.81.01.72.7
219Rasmus SandinWSHD7.20.52.22.6
220Blake LizotteLAKF8.71.01.62.6
221Matt RoyLAKD8.70.62.02.6
222Nick PerbixTBLD8.90.42.22.6
223Brayden McNabbVGKD9.60.32.22.5
224Nic DowdWSHF7.21.31.22.5
225Tanner JeannotTBLF8.91.21.32.5
226Nate SchmidtWPGD9.70.51.92.5
227Brenden DillonWPGD9.70.61.82.5
228Bobby McMannTORF9.81.50.92.4
229Alexandre CarrierNSHD9.00.41.92.4
230Ryan PulockNYID7.40.61.82.4
231Alex LaferriereLAKF8.71.21.12.3
232Cole SmithNSHF9.00.81.62.3
233Jakub LaukoBOSF10.80.91.42.3
234Michael EyssimontTBLF8.91.01.32.3
235Dylan HollowayEDMF12.01.21.12.3
236Andrew PeekeBOSD10.80.51.82.3
237Connor DewarTORF9.81.11.22.3
238Mark GiordanoTORD9.80.61.72.3
239Aliaksei ProtasWSHF7.20.51.72.2
240Adam PelechNYID7.40.31.92.2
241Carson SoucyVAND11.10.71.42.1
242Michael McCarronNSHF9.01.11.02.1
243Kevin StenlundFLAF12.01.50.62.1
244Casey CizikasNYIF7.40.81.22.0
245Dylan SambergWPGD9.70.21.92.0
246Brandon CarloBOSD10.80.51.52.0
247Mitchell ChaffeeTBLF8.91.10.82.0
248Jani HakanpääDALD11.30.51.52.0
249Ian ColeVAND11.10.31.62.0
250Brandon DuhaimeCOLF11.21.10.92.0

Goalies

RankTeamGoaliesWins
1CARFrederik Andersen / Pyotr Kochetkov6.3
2NYRIgor Shesterkin / Jonathan Quick5.9
3EDMStuart Skinner / Calvin Pickard5.2
3FLASergei Bobrovsky / Anthony Stolarz5.2
5COLAlexandar Georgiev / Justus Annunen4.6
6DALJake Oettinger / Scott Wedgewood4.5
7VANThatcher Demko / Casey DeSmith4.4
8BOSLinus Ullmark / Jeremy Swayman4.2
9TORIlya Samsonov / Joseph Woll3.4
10VGKAdin Hill / Logan Thompson3.3
10WPGConnor Hellebuyck / Laurent Brossoit3.3
12NSHJuuse Saros / Kevin Lankinen2.6
13TBLAndrei Vasilevskiy / Matt Tomkins2.6
14LAKCam Talbot / David Rittich2.4
15NYISemyon Varlamov / Ilya Sorokin1.5
16WSHCharlie Lindgren / Darcy Kuemper1.3
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