Daily Fantasy Hockey: Power-Play Report (11/14)

Updated: November 30, 2018 at 2:24 pm by Dylan Berthiaume

When you are building your Daily Fantasy Hockey lineup it can be difficult to decide which team to target, which line to target and which power-play to target.

To try and make that decision easier, Dylan and I have created the Power-play report. Below you will find an in-depth look at how each team’s power-play will match-up with the opposition’s penalty-kill. We have also broken down how much their top power-play plays in comparison to their second unit.

Stats

  • – All totals are per 60 minutes of 5v4 ice time.
  • – SF/SA: Shots for/Shots against
  • – SCF/SCA: Scoring Chances For/Against
  • – HDCF/HDCA: High-Dangers Scoring Chances For/Against
  • – PP1 Usage: The percentage of power-play time the top unit has played in the last five games.

Winnipeg Jets vs. Washington Capitals [8:00pm]

Jets PP Capitals PK
PP%/PK% 34.0% (1st) 72.7% (28th)
PP/PK per Gm 2.9 4.0
SH%/SV% 16.85 SH% (8th) .768 SV% (30th)
Shots 73.67 (1st) 41.36 (5th)
Scoring Chances 62.08 (2nd) 42.56 (6th)
High-Danger Chances 29.8 (2nd) 22.78 (21st)
PP1 Usage 72.3% —–
Capitals PP Jets PK
 
PP%/PK% 30.3% (2nd) 81.0% (t-15th)
PP/PK per Gm 3.3 3.9
SH%/SV% 22.06 SH% (1st) .907 SV% (6th)
Shots 46.85 (22nd) 64.98 (27th)
Scoring Chances 41.34 (26th) 54.05 (24th)
High-Danger Chances 13.09 (30th) 21.86 (19th)
PP1 Usage 72.1% —–

Analysis: 

The Jets’ number-one ranked power-play is taking on the Capitals’ 28th-ranked penalty-kill, but the matchup isn’t as clear-cut as it looks on paper. The Capitals are actually doing a great job of suppressing shots and scoring chances while shorthanded but have been let down by their goaltending. A strong game from Braden Holtby could keep Winnipeg’s power-play in check, but you have to like their chances of burying at least one tonight.

As I continue to point out in these Power-Play Reports, the Capitals’ sky-high conversion rate on the power-play is grossly inflated by a 22.06 SH%. The lack of shots and scoring chances they create is already coming back to haunt them; the Caps are just 2 for their last 15 (13.3%) with the man advantage. The Jets could easily blank Washington’s mighty power-play with a strong performance from Hellebuyck.

Chicago Blackhawks vs. St. Louis Blues [8:00pm]

Blackhawks PP Blues PK
PP%/PK% 12.5% (30th) 82.3% (t-10th)
PP/PK per Gm 3.1 3.7
SH%/SV% 5.97 SH% (31st) .873 SV% (17th)
Shots 44.84 (28th) 51.55 (16th)
Scoring Chances 41.49 (25th) 55.91 (28th)
High-Danger Chances 19.41 (18th) 20.33 (14th)
PP1 Usage 63.1% —–
Blues PP Blackhawks PK
 
PP%/PK% 27.6% (5th) 74.1% (t-26th)
PP/PK per Gm 3.9 3.0
SH%/SV% 18.39 SH% (6th) .854 SV% (21st)
Shots 54.37 (13th) 67.95 (29th)
Scoring Chances 59.36 (3rd) 59.46 (30th)
High-Danger Chances 22.5 (13th) 28.31 (31st)
PP1 Usage 57.4% —–

Analysis: 

Despite a league-worst 5.97 SH% with the man advantage, the Blackhawks’ dormant power-play isn’t likely to improve any time soon. Their shooting struggles are compounded by an inability to reliably create shots and scoring chances. They are unlikely to convert against a respectable penalty-killing team in the Blues.

The Blues’ power-play draws one of the best matchups of the night against one of the worst-penalty killing teams in the league. Chicago’s penalty-kill gives up more high-danger chances than anyone in the league and the third-most shots. Their ranking could fall even further if their .854 short-handed SV% starts to slip. The Blues’ power-play is almost certain to produce tonight.

Colorado Avalanche vs. Boston Bruins [10:00pm]

Avalanche PP Bruins PK
 
PP%/PK% 25.4% (7th) 80.3% (t-18th)
PP/PK per Gm 3.5 4.1
SH%/SV% 14.77 SH% (10th) .901 SV% (8th)
Shots 53.97 (15th) 68.94 (30th)
Scoring Chances 46.61 (19th) 49.83 (16th)
High-Danger Chances 22.69 (11th) 21.16 (17th)
PP1 Usage 63.5% —–
Bruins PP Avalanche PK
PP%/PK% 30.0% (3rd) 82.8% (7th)
PP/PK per Gm 3.5 4.1
SH%/SV% 17.11 SH% (7th) .909 SV% (5th)
Shots 51.35 (18th) 57.78 (23rd)
Scoring Chances 51.35 (12th) 48.85 (15th)
High-Danger Chances 20.27 (15th) 23.64 (25th)
PP1 Usage 65.1% —–

Analysis: 

The Bruins’ penalty-kill seems content to give up a lot of shots so long as they’re limited to low-danger areas. Despite giving up the second-most shots in the league on the penalty-kill, Boston suppresses scoring and high-danger chances at a respectable rate. Still, Halak will need to be sharp to withstand a barrage of shots from Mackinnon, Rantanen, and Landeskog.

Colorado’s 82.8 PK% is in large part thanks to the play of Semyon Varlamov. They are doing a poor job of suppressing high-danger chances but boast the eighth-best short-handed SV% in the league. Varlamov has played well this season but he’ll have to bring his A-game if he wants to blank Pastrnak and company tonight. Boston’s first unit sees over 65% of the power-play ice time.

Vegas Golden Knights vs. Anaheim Ducks [10:30pm]

Golden Knights PP Ducks PK
PP%/PK% 16.7% (23rd) 82.3% (t-10th)
PP/PK per Gm 3.3 3.8
SH%/SV% 10.0 SH% (26th) .898 SV% (9th)
Shots 58.04 (6th) 66.88 (28th)
Scoring Chances 50.49 (14th) 62.91 (31st)
High-Danger Chances 19.15 (19th) 27.2 (29th)
PP1 Usage 54.0% —–
Ducks PP Golden Knights PK
PP%/PK% 15.4% (26th) 84.3% (5th)
PP/PK per Gm 2.7 2.9
SH%/SV% 12.7 SH% (16th) .875 SV% (15th)
Shots 46.39 (23rd) 41.04 (4th)
Scoring Chances 43.44 (22nd) 39.58 (4th)
High-Danger Chances 11.78 (31st) 13.93 (3rd)
PP1 Usage 54.9% —–

Analysis: 

The Golden Knights’ bane on the man advantage has been their SH%, and it won’t be easy to correct that tonight against John Gibson. Much like their play at 5v5, the Ducks have absolutely been bailed out by Gibson on the penalty-kill. They give up some of the most shots and chances in the NHL but boast a top-ten ranking thanks to a .898 short-handed SV%. The excess amount of quality chances should help Vegas convert tonight, but Gibson is a tough shell to crack.

The Golden Knights’ possess one of the most all-around penalty-kills in the league and should have no problem against Anaheim tonight. The Ducks are generating the least high-danger chances in the NHL with the man advantage but their 12.7 SH% is keeping them above water. A half-decent performance from Fleury is all Vegas needs to blank the Ducks’ power-play tonight.


Top PP Advantages

  1. 1. St. Louis

  2. 2. Colorado

  3. 3. Boston

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Dylan Berthiaume

Dylan has been an Associate Editor of DailyFaceoff since 2018 and a co-host of the DFO Podcast since 2015.

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