DailyFaceoff/Corsica NHL Bets (January 11th)

The Corsica NHL betting predictions redeemed itself last night with a perfect outing. The most valuable bet on Thursday’s 12-game slate was pegged to be the under for the Leafs and Devils. The Leafs got off to a hot start but their offense cooled off in time to keep the game from going over 6.5 goals, locking up the high-value play. The most likely bet to hit was thought to be the Jets beating a +1.5-goal spread in Minnesota. This bet looked grim early as the Wild jumped out to a 3-0 lead, but the Jets clawed back to get within one late in the third. They fell short of the comeback, but the 3-2 final meant they were winners in our books.

There are four games on tap for tonight with plenty of spots to like. I’ve highlighted Corsica’s most valuable and probable bets below. You can find predictions for all of tonight’s games here. Good luck!

Highest Value

Panthers @ Flames – Over/Under | Under 6.5 (+104)

This isn’t the safest play on the slate, but you won’t find better bang for your buck tonight. More likely than not, the fate of the under lies squarely on the shoulders of David Rittich. The Flames score the third-most goals per game in the NHL and will almost certainly have their way with a struggling Roberto Luongo. The Panthers’ offense is nothing to scoff at, but the combination of Calgary’s stingy play at 5v5 and Rittich in goal should be too much to overcome. The 26-year-old netminder is enjoying a four-game winning streak and has his SV% up to .921 on the season. Corsica gives this game a 62.18% chance of hitting the under tonight.

Highest Probability

Penguins @ Ducks – Spread | ANA +1.5 (-215)

The Ducks’ top-nine is clearly outmatched by that of the Penguins. Luckily for Anaheim, they have the great equalizer in goal. John Gibson is the only reason you need to believe in the Ducks beating the spread tonight. Despite Gibson’s best efforts, a complete lack of goal support has resulted in a nine-game losing streak for the Ducks. They’ve scored just twelve times in the last nine games, wasting several admirable starts from Gibson. In a year where seemingly every other goaltender in the NHL is struggling to keep the puck out of the net, Gibson has churned out a .923 SV%. Oddly enough, the Ducks last win came against the Penguins on December 17. Gibson stopped 28 of the 30 shots he faced and picked up the win in his hometown of Pittsburgh.

The Ducks’ offense should start to come around with Rickard Rakell now back in the lineup. Rakell returned to the lineup in Wednesday’s overtime loss to the Senators. He has 72 goals across 179 games over the last three seasons and provides some much-needed reinforcement for Ryan Getzlaf on the top line. Corsica gives the Ducks a 73.52% chance of beating the +1.5-goal spread tonight.