DailyFaceoff/Corsica NHL Bets (January 3rd)

The Corsica NHL betting predictions opened the new year with a respectable performance last night, nailing its most probable bet but just missing on the high-value play. Corsica gave the Oilers a 74.43% chance of covering a +1.5-goal spread against Arizona last night. Edmonton did us one better and bested the Yotes by a score of 3-1. The Canucks and Senators finishing with less than 6.5 goals was thought to be the most valuable bet on last night’s slate. The bet looked promising for most of the night as the Canucks carried a 2-1 lead into the third. Vancouver added an insurance marker early in the frame but a pair of late goals from the Senators forced the game into overtime, effectively ending the game’s chances at hitting the under.

With just six games on the main slate tonight, it’s a relatively slow Thursday for the NHL. I’ve highlighted Corsica’s most probable and valuable bets below. You can find predictions for all of tonight’s games here. Good luck!

Highest Value

Canucks @ Canadiens – Over/Under | Under 6 (+115)

After a hat-trick from Elias Pettersson last night, this might be considered a bit of a contrarian play. Working for the under in this game is the top-heavy nature of the Canucks. Pettersson and Brock Boeser have been outstanding together this season, but it’s left Bo Horvat with little to nothing to play with. He can’t be expected to produce with Antoine Roussel and Loui Eriksson on his wings. The Canadiens can counter Pettersson and Boeser with one of the best shutdown lines in the NHL.

Phillip Danault, Brendan Gallagher, and Tomas Tatar are surrendering just 22 scoring chances per 60 at 5v5 this season. They should be able to maintain the Pettersson line at even strength tonight, doing their part to keep this game from going over six goals. Throw in the added fatigue of playing on back-to-back nights and it’s easy to imagine the Canucks struggling to do much offensively in this one. This is a bit of a riskier play, but you won’t find better bang for your buck on tonight’s slate. Corsica gives this bet a likelihood of 53.67%.

Highest Probability

Blues @ Capitals – Spread | STL +1.5 (-255)

With a 74.42% chance of coming to fruition, this is by far the most probable bet on tonight’s slate. Vladimir Tarasenko is a game-time decision for tonight’s contest, but St. Louis should be able to keep this one close with or without him in the lineup. The Capitals juggled their lines ahead of tonight’s game, reuniting Evgeny Kuznetsov and Tom Wilson with Alexander Ovechkin on the top line. Ovechkin’s numbers are a lot stronger this season when skating alongside Nicklas Backstrom. Ryan O’Reilly is one of the best two-way forwards in the NHL and should be up to the task of shutting down Ovie. The Blues are giving up just 18 scoring chances per 60 when O’Reilly and David Perron are on the ice together.

Backstrom and T.J. Oshie should skate with Jakub Vrana on the second line tonight. The three of them have struggled at even strength this season and will be hard-pressed to generate much offense against the second line of the Blues. Jaden Schwartz and Brayden Schenn are an effective tandem even without Tarasenko on their right wing. Tyler Bozak and Patrick Maroon seemed to have finally hit their stride together and should dominate the Lars Eller line at even strength tonight. A half-decent performance from Jake Allen is all the Blues will need to keep this one close.