DailyFaceoff/Corsica NHL Bets (November 28th)

Just like the rest of us, the Corsica NHL betting predictions aren’t immune to bad beats. After the Flyers and Senators combined for just four goals through the first 50 minutes of last night’s game, Ottawa went off for three goals in the last ten minutes of the third period. The result was a remarkable 4-3 comeback victory for the Senators but a crushing blow to anyone who played the under. While their most valuable bet nearly missed, Corsica’s most probable bet came through once again. Corsica gave the Kings a 77.72% chance of covering a +1.5-goal spread against the Canucks and they did not disappoint, edging Vancouver by a score of 2-1 in overtime. This post now sits at 32-19 (62.7%) on the season.

Still looking for it’s first perfect night of the week, Corsica takes aim at tonight’s five-game slate. I’ve highlighted the night’s most probable and valuable bets below, according to Corsica. Good luck!

For more information on how Corsica generates these bets, click HERE.

Highest Probability

Penguins @ Avalanche – Spread | PIT +1.5 (-253)

Unlike most of the hockey world, Corsica isn’t all too concerned with the Penguins’ slow start. They’re giving Pittsburgh a 75.14% chance of covering the +1.5-goal spread tonight, by far the most probable bet on the slate. Travelling to the mile-high city on a back-to-back is never easy, but the Avalanche did travel overnight as well after playing in Nashville. If Pittsburgh can avoid taking too many trips to the penalty box, they should be able to maintain Colorado’s top-heavy attack. The Nathan Mackinnon line has been hard-matched against the opposition’s best at home lately, suggesting a head-to-head matchup against Sidney Crosby is in store for tonight’s contest. The Crosby line has outperformed Colorado’s top line at even strength and is limiting their opponents to under 20 scoring chances per 60.

The Penguins should also get the added benefit of dodging starter Semyon Varlamov in goal. Varlamov got the start and the victory against the Predators last night, so you can expect Philipp Grubauer to be in goal for the Avs tonight. On the whole, Grubauer has struggled this season, posting a .907 SV% and 3.07 GAA in eight games. Tristan Jarry is expected to be in net for the Pens. In his only other start this season, Jarry stopped 35 of the 37 shots he faced in a 2-1 overtime loss to the Bruins on Friday.

Highest Value

Penguins @ Avalanche – Over/Under | Under 6.5 (+102)

According to Corsica, no bet on tonight’s slate offers better value than the Penguins and Avalanche hitting the under at 6.5 goals. As I alluded to above, Colorado’s dynamic first line should be kept in check tonight by the Crosby line. The Avalanche’s second and third lines generally struggle to generate offense, so don’t be surprised if Jarry only sees somewhere between 25 and 30 shots tonight. Pittsburgh should generate their fair share of chances at 5v5, but their power-play should have trouble converting against Colorado’s suppressing penalty-kill. So long as Jarry and Grubauer hold their own in net, this game should have no problem hitting the under.