DailyFaceoff/Corsica NHL Bets (October 16th)

Updated: October 16, 2018 at 3:30 pm by Brock Seguin

The last time I did one of these posts, Corsica Hockey Bet Predictions went 2-0 on their Highest Value and Highest Probability bets, bringing this post to 6-1 on the season. 

Tonight’s 8-game slate has plenty of intriguing matchups with a few backups getting the start in goal. Below you will find the Highest Value and Highest Probability bets for tonight’s slate, but you can view the best predictions for all eight games in our BETS SECTION.

For an explanation on how Corsica generates these predictions click HERE

Highest Value

Vancouver Canucks @ Pittsburgh Penguins — Over/Under | Under 6.5 (-111)

Last week, Corsica Hockey correctly predicted that the Penguins vs.  Golden Knights would hit the under (6.5) with Casey DeSmith and Malcolm Subban in net. DeSmith will make his third straight start tonight and the same goes for Anders Nilsson in the Vancouver net. 

For whatever reason, Nilsson has an absolutely outstanding record in the month of October dating back to last season—5-1-0 while allowing just nine goals on 165 shots (.946 SV%) overall. DeSmith has been solid this year as well, posting a .935 SV% in two games. Two goalies playing at a high-level will help this game hit the under. 

Most importantly, the Canucks will be without their super rookie Elias Pettersson and both of these teams rank in the bottom-8 in terms of shots per game and in the bottom-half of the league in scoring chances for/60. 

The Penguins are 2-2 against an under 6.5 line, while the Canucks are 2-3. 

Highest Probability

Carolina Hurricanes @ Tampa Bay Lightning — Against the Spread | CAR +1.5 (-190)

The Hurricanes are off to a great start to 2018-19 and lead the NHL in shots per game (42.3), tied for first in CorsiFor% (61.41%) and third in scoring chances for/60 (33.3). 

On the other side is one of the NHL’s best teams on paper. The Lightning had a slow start, but scored eight goals in their last outing. Despite the offensive explosion, Louis Domingue will make his first start of the season tonight. That opens the door for the Hurricanes to cover the +1.5 spread. Carolina is consistently one of the best possession teams in the NHL and their top-6 is humming right now. Sebastian Aho seems well on his way to a breakout season, while Jordan Staal and Justin Williams are playing better than they ever have with rookie Warren Foegele chipping in his fair share. 

Carolina has lost by more than one goal just one time in their first six games and should dominate the puck enough tonight to at least keep this one close.