DailyFaceoff DFS Value Plays – February 27th
There are only three games tonight and typically when there are very few games, I like to give you my favourite value plays of the night. I get a lot of help from our friends at SaberSim when I do these for you and you should start your FREE 7-day Trial right now because their lineup tool is so easy to use and has helped me and many others cash in big this season.
This Cheat Sheet includes DraftKings salaries as well as SaberSim dfs projections. These projections don’t tell you exactly what’s going to happen. One game samples have too much randomness to pin down exact predictions. Rather, the projections represent what a player’s performance would look like on average if that particular matchup were played over and over again. There is a wide range of possible outcomes, and the projections represent the average of those possibilities for each player.
Brayden Point – vs. OTT – $3,900
SaberSim Projection: 2.83
Point doesn’t shoot as much as you would like, but has played very well since returning from injury in the final day of January. The rookie winger has registered five goals and three assists (eight points) in that 10-game span, but only has 10 shots on goal and five blocked shots during that time—2.9 DraftKings points per game. The triplets line is red-hot and will likely be highly owned, so the second line is a good, cheap alternative.
Artturi Lehkonen – @ NJD – $3,600
SaberSim Projection: 2.31
Lehkonen has displayed a great shot in his first 53 NHL games, but hasn’t been given a great chance to succeed. He was recently moved up to the second line by new head coach Claude Julien and will skate with Alex Galchenyuk and Brendan Gallagher tonight. The 21-year-old winger has averaged three shots per game in his last five contests and his new spot in the lineup should provide him with plenty of opportunities to score tonight.
Adrian Kempe – @ MIN – $3,100
SaberSim Projection: 2.30
Kempe was recalled to provide the Kings’ offence with a spark, but it hasn’t exactly gone according to plan. The rookie winger has two assists and 10 shots on goal (1.67 S/PG) in six games since his call-up, but he recently returned to the top line with Anze Kopitar, which makes him a very interesting value option at just $3,100.
Damon Severson – vs. MTL – $3,300
SaberSim Projection: 1.07
Severson has had a really nice month of February and he will be looking to close it out on a good note. The 22-year-old has registered four assists while averaging 2.60 shots on goal and 1.0 blocked shots in his last 10 games. He has played just under 20 minutes per night over that span, including time on the power-play. He isn’t an elite option, but he’s an excellent money-saving play tonight.
Kevin Gravel – @ MIN – $2,900
SaberSim Projection: 1.16
Gravel spent some time as a healthy scratch when the Kings called Paul Ladue up from Ontario (AHL), but with Ladue banged up, Gravel has played in the last three games and has one goal, one assist, five shots and four blocks. He is one of the cheapest available defenseman tonight, so if you’re looking to save some dough, you can do worse than the 24-year-old, who sees ample time on the Kings’ second power play unit.
Cory Schneider – vs. MTL – $7,300
SaberSim Projection: 4.62
Schneider has enjoyed a solid month of February, going 4-3-2 with a 2.34 GAA and .930 SV%. He had a really tough outing in his first start against Montreal, but the Canadiens’ offence comes into tonight ice-cold—they’ve scored just 17 goals in their last 11 games (1.55 G/PG). He is the second-cheapest goalie option tonight and has a good chance of recording the W.