DailyFaceoff DFS Value Plays – March 8th
There are three games tonight and they all get underway at 8:00 p.m. ET, so it should be an exciting short-slate. The Jets will host the Penguins in what should be a high-scoring affair with the fist and eighth ranked offence going head-to-head. Kari Lehtonen and Craig Anderson are on the top of their games right now and will meet in Dallas. Finally the Red Wings come in on a back-to-back to wrap-up their season series with the Bruins, who have been great under new head coach Bruce Cassidy.
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This Cheat Sheet includes DraftKings salaries as well as SaberSim dfs projections. These projections don’t tell you exactly what’s going to happen. One game samples have too much randomness to pin down exact predictions. Rather, the projections represent what a player’s performance would look like on average if that particular matchup were played over and over again. There is a wide range of possible outcomes, and the projections represent the average of those possibilities for each player.
Jean-Gabriel Pageau (C) – @ DAL – $4,200
SaberSim Projection: 2.29
With Kyle Turris out, Pageau will move the lineup. The 24-year-old centre has just one goal and two assists in hie last eight games, but he has posted super consistent Daily Fantasy numbers. He has averaged 2.88 shots, 1.25 blocked shots and 3.13 DraftKings points (DKP) over that same eight-game span. He hasn’t had one big game, but eight steady performances. Moving up the lineup could enable him to have a big night.
Drew Stafford (W) – vs. DET – $4,200
SaberSim Projection: 3.11
Stafford has one assist while firing nine shots on goal in his first two games with the Bruins. He has done that on the Bruins’ third line (14:28 TOI/GM) and tonight he will replace Peter Cehlarik on the second line with David Krejci and David Pastrnak. His name might not be David, but the line I will call the “Three D Line” (creative eh?) could have some success against the Red Wings, who played last night. With everyone likely picking the Bruins’ top-line, the second line has a lot of value to offer.
Gustav Nyquist (W) – @ BOS – $4,000
SaberSim Projection: 2.30
Nyquist had two goals on five shots last night in Toronto, marking one of his best performances in a disappointing season. Nyquist is playing with Henrik Zetterberg, who is red-hot right now. Zetterberg has five multi-assist performances in his last seven games and has totalled one goal and 11 assists over that span. Nyquist possesses a lot of skill and has great linemates, but his disappointing season has his salary way down.
Radek Faksa (C) – vs. OTT – $3,600
SaberSim Projection: 2.40
Faksa has seen a nice bump in minute recently and has played very well on the Stars second line with Patrick Sharp. Faksa has one goal and two assists in his last six games—averaging 2.42 DKP per game over that same stretch. He has enjoyed a nice sophomore season and is a good value option tonight.
Mark Streit (D) – @ WPG – $4,100
SaberSim Projection: 2.06
Streit had one goal and one assist in his Penguins debut and has fired four shots in each of his first two games in Pittsburgh. Streit is playing big minutes on a banged up Penguins’ blueline and is seeing ample time on the power play. His price will likely start to climb, but remains reasonably priced tonight and comes in as the 11th most expensive defenseman available.
Josh Morrissey (D) – vs. PIT – $3,400
SaberSim Projection: 2.01
Morrissey, 21, put up big offensive numbers in junior, but it’s taken time for his offensive game to translate into the NHL. On the Jets’ broadcast the other night they said “the offence is coming” and they might be right. Morrissey has two goals and two assists in his last night games and has averaged 1.67 shots, 2.00 blocked shots and 2.94 DKP over that span.
Kari Lehtonen (G) – vs. OTT – $7,300
SaberSim Projection: 4.26
Lehtonen has won two in a row while stopping 83 of the last 86 shots he has faced (.965 SV%). Wait what? Yeah, that same Kari Lehtonen. I think a lot of people believe he is bound for a terrible outing tonight, but I have a little more faith. The Senators come in on a three-game winning streak, but they’ve only averaged 2.00 goals for in their last six games. It’s definitely a roll of the dice, but it just might pay off.