DFS Lines to Target: 02/03/20

DFS Lines to Target: 02/03/20

We have a typically quiet Monday morning in the NHL with three games on the schedule. Below I have highlighted my top high-priced and value stacks for the night with the help of our Premium Tools.


High-Priced

Toronto 1 – @Zach Hyman ($5,600), @Auston Matthews ($8,300), @Mitch Marner ($7,700)

Toronto’s top-line is always a good line to target but they are often extremely popular. On a three-game slate, they will likely be the highest-owned stack of the night but for good reason. Toronto 1 gets a huge boost with @Aleksander Barkov sidelined with a lower-body injury. @Noel Acciari is expected to move-up between @Jonthan Huberdeau and @Evgeni Dadonov and the trio will likely struggle without the Selke Finalist.

Matthews has been on a tear since the middle of December, scoring a league-high 17 goals with 10 assists (27 points) in his last 18 games. Marner is tied for seventh in points with 26 (8G / 18A) over that same stretch. With the high price tag, it’s easy to leave Hyman out of the stack and going with the Matthews-Marner mini-stack. That comes with its own set of risks, with Hyman picking up nine points (4G / 5A) in his last seven games. You could pair them up with @Tyson Barrie ($5,700), who they’ll play roughly 50 percent of their 5v5 ice-time with and correlates on PP1. When you watch the Maple Leafs’ power-play it all flows through these three players, so if they score a PP goal, there’s a good chance they’re going to be involved.

Value

Philadelphia 2 – @Joel Farabee ($3,300), @Sean Couturier ($5,700), @Jakub Voracek ($4,600)

Both Philadelphia 1 and 2 are great options tonight but their second line is much cheaper. You can full-stack PHI2 for $13,600 versus $15,900 for PHI1. Playing the second line instead will allow you to squeeze Matthews and Marner into your lineup and they could easily be the highest-scoring line on the slate.

PHI2 will see a mix of the Red Wings’ top-9, all of which are exploitable. @Jonathan Bernier has played well recently, posting a .941 SV% in his last six starts but PHI2 comes in on a heater of their own:

  • – Couturier has 16 points (3G / 13A) while averaging 2.7 shots per game in his last 12 games.
  • – Voracek has 18 points (5G /13A) in his last 19 games.
  • – Farabee is on a five-game point streak, scoring four goals with two assists over that time.

They are best paired with @Matt Niskanen ($3,400), who they will play the majority of their 5v5 ice-time with and play together on PP2, which plays more than your average second unit. Niskanen has modest point totals but always has a good chance to return value thanks to his 1.9 shots and 1.1 blocked shots per game.

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