DFS Lines To Target: 10/16/19

Updated: October 16, 2019 at 3:40 pm by Dylan Berthiaume

The holiday on Monday threw the NHL Schedule out of sync this week, setting up for a relatively busy Wednesday night. With six games on the slate, there are plenty of quality options to choose from. I’ve highlighted my top high-priced, medium-priced, and value stacks below to help you narrow it down. All three of these lines offer a high floor tonight with some considerable upside. Good luck!

High-Priced

Colorado 1 – Gabriel Landeskog ($6,900), Nathan MacKinnon ($7,700), Mikko Rantanen ($7,000)

No surprise here as Colorado 1 is once again the best high-priced option on the slate. Given all of their injuries, The Penguins have opted to go with a top-nine vs top-nine mix at 5v5 this season. That means MacKinnon and company should be able to avoid Sidney Crosby for most of the night. The Avalanche’s top trio is off to another dominant start, registering a 56.14 SCF% and a 60.00 HDCF% at even strength. They should easily control the pace of play tonight against the depth of the Penguins, giving them a very high floor. Adding to Colorado 1’s upside is the lopsided matchup on the man advantage. Colorado owns a 27.3 PP%, while the Penguins have killed just 78.6% of their penalties. Even at over $21,000 for the full stack, you can expect all three of Landeskog, MacKinnon, and Rantanen to return value tonight.

Medium-Priced

Carolina 1 – Nino Niederreiter ($4,600), Sebastian Aho ($5,700), Teuvo Teravainen ($5,300)

Playing teams on the tail-end of a back-to-back is generally a no-no, but the price is too good to ignore here. At just $15,600 for the full stack, you can get incredible value out of Carolina 1 tonight. Niederreiter, Aho, and Teravainen have dominated the opposition at 5v5 this season. They own a 64.18 CF% and a 66.67 SCF% but have suffered through a 6.12 on-ice SH%. Their run of poor luck is bound to turn sooner or later, and San Jose’s lackluster goaltending has me betting on the latter. Martin Jones is off to a typically poor start, registering a .887 SV% and a 3.58 GAA through four appearances. He’ll have a hard time dealing with the onslaught of scoring chances Carolina 1 is going to throw his way tonight. I’m full stacking the Canes’ top line with confidence tonight.

Value Stack

Anaheim 2 – Max Comtois ($3,100), Ryan Getzlaf ($4,400), Ondrej Kase ($4,800)

If you’re going to pay up for Colorado 1 tonight, you’ll need to find value elsewhere in your lineup. You could argue no line offers more value tonight than Anaheim 2. The Getzlaf line continues to see the usage of a number-one unit, despite being listed behind the Adam Henrique line on the depth chart. Getzlaf played over 21 minutes last game, registering five shots on goal. He’s been at his best the last few seasons when skating alongside Ondrej Kase. The two of them averaged over 73 shot attempts and 36 scoring chances per 60 at 5v5 last season. They should see a mix of the Sabres’ top nine tonight.

A lot of Buffalo’s early season success can be attributed to their ridiculous 42.9 PP%. The team has been rather mediocre at even strength, and none of their top three lines boast rates anywhere near that of Anaheim 2. With how much time Getzlaf and Kase are projected to spend in Buffalo’s end, they could return value without even scoring a goal tonight. Comtois’ usage is less reliable than Getzlaf and Kase, so he’s a slightly riskier play. Getzlaf and Kase already offer great value as a mini-stack, but Comtois is worth adding if you’re feeling lucky. The full-stack offers complete power-play correlation. All three of Getlzaf, Kase, and Comtois are expected to be on the team’s second power-play unit tonight.