Yesterday’s two-game slate sets us up for a busy Friday night, with eight games on tap. I’ve highlighted my top high-priced, mid-range, and value stacks below. Good luck!
Washington 1 – Alex Ovechkin ($8,100), Nicklas Backstrom ($5,600), @T.J. Oshie ($5,700)
While Ovechkin’s price continues to soar to new heights, Backstrom and Oshie’s price-tags keep this stack affordable. At $19,400 for the full stack, Washington 1 should easily return value tonight. They draw an excellent matchup against an overrated Sabres team. Washington’s recent line-matching trends on home ice suggest their top line will see a mix of Buffalo’s top-six tonight. The Jack Eichel line is much more of a threat on the power-play than at even strength. Washington 1 is a clear-cut favourite in that matchup, and any time they see against the Marcus Johansson line will be a bonus.
The special teams matchup only adds to the upside of this stack tonight. Washington’s dynamic power-play looks as strong as ever, ranking sixth in the NHL with a 25.5 PP%. Inversely, Buffalo has struggled on the penalty-kill this season, only managing a 79.5 PK%. Washington’s top line will see plenty of scoring chances in all situations tonight, and their consistent shot production gives them a very high floor. Roll them with confidence tonight.
Dallas 1 – Jamie Benn ($4,700), Tyler Seguin ($6,600), Alexander Radulov ($6,000)
The Stars juggled their lines ahead of tonight’s game against the Avalanche, but their prices on DraftKings don’t reflect the changes. Benn is still priced at a mere $4,700 despite being reunited with Seguin and Radulov on the top line. The three of them should see a mix of Colorado’s depleted top-nine at 5v5 tonight. With Landeskog and Rantanen sidelined, the Avalanche don’t have a line capable of keeping pace with Dallas 1. The Stars are averaging a whopping 36 scoring and 15 high-danger chances per 60 with their top line on the ice this season.
The Avalanche have managed to kill 84.6% of their penalties, the eighth-best rate in the NHL, but they’re taking almost four minor penalties a game. I like Dallas 1’s chances of breaking through on one of those four power-plays tonight. That combined with the lopsided matchup spread at 5v5 makes them a safe bet tonight.
Carolina 2 – Andrei Svechnikov ($5,900), Sebastian Aho ($6,100), Warren Foegele ($2,900)
Foegele’s addition to the Aho line makes them an excellent value stack tonight. Foegle proved last season he can be a serviceable top-six player for the Canes. He and Aho averaged 28 scoring chances per 60 at 5v5 together last year. He offers far less upside than his line-mates, but the price alone makes him worth including in your lineup. Carolina tends to hard-match the Jordan Staal line against the opposition’s best on home ice. That can leave the Aho line with some lopsided matchups when they play host to top-heavy teams, and that’s exactly what they’ll get tonight. The Dylan Larkin line has been carrying Detroit all season. They’ll draw all the attention of the Staal line tonight, freeing up Carolina 2 to feast on the feeble depth of the Red Wings. You’ll be hard-pressed to find better value tonight.