DFS Lines To Target: 11/08/19

It’s a slow Friday night in the NHL this week with just three games on the main slate. I’ve highlighted my top high-priced, mid-range, and value stacks below. Good luck!

High-Priced

Boston 1 – @Brad Marchand ($7,700), @Patrice Bergeron ($7,800), @David Pastrnak ($8,300)

With just three games on tap, Boston 1’s performance will have a dramatic impact on the DFS slate. They will draw a lot of attention against a basement-dwelling Red Wings team, and for good reason. Boston 1 is the most reliable stack in DFS hockey this season, and their price is reflective of that. The full stack will cost you almost half of your budget, but fading them could prove to be fatal. Their puck dominance at 5v5 leads to elite shot production that gives them a high-floor night in and night out. To be fair, the Red Wings have had some success using the @Dylan Larkin against opposing top lines on home ice. It won’t be a walk in the park for the Bergeron line at even strength tonight, but I still expect them to come out ahead in that matchup.

While the 5v5 matchup isn’t great, the power-play is where Boston 1’s numbers could get really ridiculous tonight. The Bruins boast the best PP% in the NHL at 31.4%, highlighted by Pastrnak’s league-leading nine power-play tallies. Coincidentally, no team has done a worse job killing penalties this season than the Detroit Red Wings. They’ve killed off just 66.7% of their penalties. Even if the Larkin line can maintain Boston 1 at 5v5, Detroit will have no answer for them on the power-play. This is a gigantic mismatch that could easily ruin the entire DFS slate. If you do want to try and fit the full stack into your lineup, I would suggest tossing in @Charlie Coyle, as well. He’s the fourth forward on that top power-play unit and is priced at a reasonable $3,500 on DraftKings.

Mid-Range

Winnipeg 2 – @Nikolaj Ehlers ($5,600), @Blake Wheeler ($5,800), @Jack Roslovic ($2,600)

Injuries forced the Jets into some line juggling ahead of tonight’s clash against the Canucks. With @Bryan Little sidelined, Wheeler will move to the middle to centre the second line tonight. The Jets tend to use the @Mark Scheifele line against the opponent’s top line on home ice, so Winnipeg 2 should be able to avoid the @Elias Pettersson line tonight. Instead, the bulk of their minutes should come against the @Bo Horvat line. Horvat has done an admirable job of creating offense this season, but it’s come at the expense of his defense. Vancouver is surrendering 30 scoring chances per 60 when Horvat and his line-mate, @Tanner Pearson, are on the ice. Wheeler, Ehlers, and Roslovic should see plenty of prime scoring opportunities in this matchup. The Jets will also have rest on their side tonight. Fatigue should be a factor for the Canucks, who played last night in Chicago. All things considered, you’re getting great value out of Winnipeg 2 tonight.

Value

Edmonton 2 – @James Neal ($5,100), @Ryan Nugent-Hopkins ($4,700), @Alex Chiasson ($3,200)

While the @Connor McDavid line continues to get all the attention, Edmonton’s second line is once again a solid, under the radar play. The Nugent-Hopkins line should see a mix of the Devils’ tired top-nine at even strength tonight. New Jersey traveled overnight after suffering a 5-2 defeat in Calgary on Thursday. The Devils have struggled to create meaningful puck possession so far this season. They’ll have a hard time staying out their own end when Edmonton’s top-six is on the ice. By the numbers, Nugent-Hopkins and Neal have been at their best this season with Chiasson on their wing. The three of them are averaging 30 scoring and 14 high-danger chances per 60 at 5v5 this season. You can expect them to generate plenty of shots and scoring chances in this matchup. Add in the fact that both Neal and Nugent-Hopkins are on the top power-play unit, and it’s easy to see the value here tonight.