DFS Lines To Target: 11/11/19
The NHL week kicks off with a quiet Monday night with just two games on the slate. I’ve highlighted my top high-priced, mid-range, and value stacks below. Good luck!
High-Priced
Carolina 2 – @Andrei Svechnikov ($7,500), @Sebastian Aho ($7,300), @Teuvo Teravainen ($6,500)
The Aho line will draw plenty of attention in DFS contests tonight, and for good reason. The Hurricanes are heavy favourites at home over the Senators, and the Aho line is a big part of that. Aho and Svechnikov are creating offense at an absurd rate this season, averaging 41 scoring and 19 high-danger chances per 60. Teravainen joins the line at the perfect time, boosting the stack’s upside against a terrible defensive team.
Carolina likes to hard-match their top line against the opposition’s best on home ice, which should leave Aho to match up with @Jean-Gabriel Pageau at 5v5. Pageau is an effective two-way player, but he doesn’t have the support he needs to keep pace with the Aho line. The expected shot production at 5v5 gives Carolina 2 a very high floor tonight, and the upside speaks for itself. All three of Svechnikov, Aho, and Teravainen will also be on the top power-play unit tonight. Stack them with confidence.
Mid-Range
Washington 2 – @Jakub Vrana ($6,700), @Evgeny Kuznetsov ($6,700), @Tom Wilson ($5,500)
Washington seems to have found their optimal lineup, given the absolute tear their second line is on. Vrana, Kuznetsov, and Wilson are one of the hottest lines in the NHL, and their poised to keep things rolling tonight. They’ve combined for seven goals and ten assists over the team’s last three games. The three of them are dominating play at 5v5, averaging 38 scoring chances for per 60 while surrendering just 22 to the opposition.
They should see a mix of Arizona’s top-six at 5v5, a more than manageable matchup spread, and all three players will see some power-play time, as well. Kuznetsov skates on the first unit while Wilson and Vrana play together on the second unit. They’ll be a threat to produce on the man advantage tonight, given the Coyotes’ struggles on the penalty-kill. Arizona has killed off just 78.4% of their penalties this season, the 10th worst rate in the NHL. On a slate with limited options, Washington 2 looks like a pretty safe bet.
Value
Carolina 1 – @Ryan Dzingel ($4,300), @Jordan Staal ($4,900), @Warren Foegele ($4,000)
Some recent line juggling gives Carolina’s top line a little bit more value heading into tonight’s lopsided contest. Staal will get a pair of fresh faces on his wings, with Dzingel and Foegele each receiving a promotion to the top-line. Staal and Dzingel flashed some chemistry together last season, averaging 34 scoring and 16 high-danger chances per 60 at 5v5. They should be tasked with shutting down the @Chris Tierney line tonight, a relatively simple assignment for Staal. This puck-dominant line should have their way with Ottawa 1 tonight. You can expect a ton of shot volume with all of the time they’ll be spending in Ottawa’s end. It’s rare to get value like this on such a small slate, so be sure to take advantage of it.