Daily NHL Betting Guide – 01/04/23
Welcome to our Betting Guide brought to you by NHL Betting site Betway!
Getting a little skin in the game can make watching NHL hockey even more exciting.
During the 2022-23 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor thanks to this betting model and our betting tools.
NHL MODEL PICKS
Each day we will look at each game, the Sportsbook Odds (via Betway), and the odds of each team winning based on the model created by Philip Bulsink. Based on those two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams we need to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to keep an eye on throughout the day.
You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:
I will also provide some analysis on the best bets and update this post throughout the day to point out big injury news, lineup changes, and backup goalies starting.
The number to keep an eye on is the “Diff.” which is the percentage difference between the model’s projected Win% and the projected Win% based on Betway odds. To find out how odds turn into percentages, use our Odds Calculator.
Wednesday, January 4
BETTING GUIDE PRESENTED BY BETWAY
Season-to-date
- Record: 60-41
- Units: +24.78
- ROI: +24.29%
Recommended Bets 💰
Tampa Bay Lightning (@ MIN) ML +102
The Lightning are on a back-to-back but started Brian Elliott last night, so Andrei Vasilevskiy will go tonight in Minnesota. The Lightning have been played extremely well as of late, leading the NHL in 5v5 xGA/60 (1.97) over their last 10 games. Over the same span, the Wild have the ninth lowest 5v5 xGF/60 (2.33), so Minnesota could have a tough time scoring on Wednesday. Vasilevskiy has only given up more than two goals twice in his last 12 starts, going 9-3-0 with a .942 SV%. The Lightning are slight road underdogs +102 but the model views them as the favourites (-121).
2 Unit Bet: TBL +102