Daily NHL Betting Guide – 02/06/23
Welcome to our Betting Guide brought to you by NHL Betting site Betway!
Getting a little skin in the game can make watching NHL hockey even more exciting.
During the 2022-23 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor thanks to this betting model and our betting tools.
NHL MODEL PICKS
Each day we will look at each game, the Sportsbook Odds (via Betway), and the odds of each team winning based on the model created by Philip Bulsink. Based on those two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams we need to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to keep an eye on throughout the day.
You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:
I will also provide some analysis on the best bets and update this post throughout the day to point out big injury news, lineup changes, and backup goalies starting.
The number to keep an eye on is the “Diff.” which is the percentage difference between the model’s projected Win% and the projected Win% based on Betway odds. To find out how odds turn into percentages, use our Odds Calculator.
Monday, February 06
BETTING GUIDE PRESENTED BY BETWAY
Season-to-date
- Record: 79-72
- Units: +15.03
- ROI: +9.95%
Recommended Bets 💰
New York Islanders (@ PHI) ML -124
The Islanders’ offence has been abysmal lately, averaging just 1.7 goals per game in their last 12 outings. They made an attempt to spark their scoring last week, acquiring Bo Horvat from the Canucks. He’ll make his Islanders’ debut tonight on a line with Mathew Barzal and Josh Bailey. The Islanders are -124 road favourites, but the model likes them at -155.
1 Unit Bet: NYI ML -124
Vancouver Canucks (@ NJD) ML +208
The model loves the Canucks tonight, but it hasn’t factored in the Horvat trade yet. Even if you downgrade them slightly for that, the Canucks are well in-range as +208 road underdogs. Vancouver has lost 11 of their last 15 games while averaging 3.0 goals for but 4.1 goals against per game. Despite those struggles, Vancouver actually has a better xGF% (48.90%) than the Devils (48.36%) over that stretch. Their goaltending has been the issue, posting a league-worst .863 SV%. Collin Delia has looked better in his last two outings, stopping 36 of the last 40 shots (.900 SV%) he’s faced.
1 Unit Bet: VAN ML +208