Daily NHL Betting Guide – 03/03/23
Welcome to our Betting Guide brought to you by NHL Betting site Betway!
Getting a little skin in the game can make watching NHL hockey even more exciting.
During the 2022-23 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor thanks to this betting model and our betting tools.
NHL MODEL PICKS
Each day we will look at each game, the Sportsbook Odds (via Betway), and the odds of each team winning based on the model created by Philip Bulsink. Based on those two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams we need to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to keep an eye on throughout the day.
You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:
I will also provide some analysis on the best bets and update this post throughout the day to point out big injury news, lineup changes, and backup goalies starting.
The number to keep an eye on is the “Diff.” which is the percentage difference between the model’s projected Win% and the projected Win% based on Betway odds. To find out how odds turn into percentages, use our Odds Calculator.
Friday, March 3
BETTING GUIDE PRESENTED BY BETWAY
Season-to-date
- Record: 108-100
- Units: +26.40
- ROI: +12.69%
It was a busy day with our Trade Deadline coverage, so I couldn’t get the betting guide done ahead of the 7 PM game. Lucky for me, the model didn’t like either side in that game anyways. Below are the two recommended bets for Friday night.
Recommended Bets 💰
- 1 Unit Bet: VGK ML -104
After back-to-back losses to the Stars and the Avalanche, the Golden Knights topped a very good Hurricanes team on home ice on Wednesday. They’ve won seven of their last 10 games and added Teddy Blueger to their bottom-6 before the trade deadline. While Akira Schmid has played very well for the Devils this season, you have to feel like the Golden Knights are catching a bit of a break with Vitek Vanecek not starting. Meanwhile, Adin Hill continues to impress, posting a 7-3-0 record with a .927 SV% in his last 12 outings. The sportsbooks have this as a coin flip, but the model absolutely loves the Golden Knights (-170 👀).
- 1 Unit Bet: MGL ML +113
I’m pretty comfortable taking the underdog when the Anaheim Ducks are the favourite. They are the worst defensive team in the NHL and just traded two defensemen today. Montreal is no juggernaut, but they’ve played pretty well as of late and seem like a fine value bet a plus-money on Friday.