Daily NHL Betting Guide – 11/02/22
Welcome to our Betting Guide brought to you by NHL odds site Betway!
Getting a little skin in the game can make watching NHL hockey even more exciting.
During the 2022-23 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor thanks to this betting model and our betting tools.
NHL MODEL PICKS
Each day we will look at each game, the Sportsbook Odds (via Betway), and the odds of each team winning based on the model created by Philip Bulsink. Based on those two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams we need to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to keep an eye on throughout the day.
You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:
I will also provide some analysis on the best bets and update this post throughout the day to point out big injury news, lineup changes, and backup goalies starting.
The number to keep an eye on is the “Diff.” which is the percentage difference between the model’s projected Win% and the projected Win% based on PointsBet odds. To find out how odds turn into percentages, use our Odds Calculator.
Wednesday, November 2
BETTING GUIDE PRESENTED BY BETWAY
Season-to-date
- Record: 16-11
- Units: +9.25
- ROI: +34.26%
Recommended Bets
Pittsburgh Penguins (@ BUF) -117
The Pittsburgh Penguins blew a three-goal lead to lose in overtime on Tuesday and have now lost five in a row. As a result, the betting market is down on the Penguins, and there’s pretty good value on them at -117 in Buffalo.
The Sabres have been good so far this season, winning six of their first nine games, but it doesn’t look sustainable. They scored the fourth-highest goals above expected and are riding the third-highest SH% (12.42) in the NHL.
The Penguins have been dominant at 5v5 (55.3 xGF%), and on the power-play (3rd highest xGF/60), their only issues have been the penalty kill and goaltending (at times). This seems like a good time to get on the Penguins while the betting market is too low on them and too high on the Sabres. You’ll also get an added boost if Kris Letang returns after missing Tuesday’s game with an illness.
1.5 Unit Bet: PIT -117