Daily NHL Betting Guide – 11/21/22
Welcome to our Betting Guide brought to you by NHL Betting site Betway!
Getting a little skin in the game can make watching NHL hockey even more exciting.
During the 2022-23 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor thanks to this betting model and our betting tools.
NHL MODEL PICKS
Each day we will look at each game, the Sportsbook Odds (via Betway), and the odds of each team winning based on the model created by Philip Bulsink. Based on those two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams we need to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to keep an eye on throughout the day.
You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:
I will also provide some analysis on the best bets and update this post throughout the day to point out big injury news, lineup changes, and backup goalies starting.
The number to keep an eye on is the “Diff.” which is the percentage difference between the model’s projected Win% and the projected Win% based on PointsBet odds. To find out how odds turn into percentages, use our Odds Calculator.
Monday, November 21
BETTING GUIDE PRESENTED BY BETWAY
Season-to-date
- Record: 34-23
- Units: +18.72
- ROI: +32.83%
Recommended Bets
Edmonton Oilers (@ NJD) +136
There’s no denying that the Devils have been the most dominant team in the NHL through the first quarter of the season. Heck, they’re riding a 12-game winning streak at the moment. However, winning 13 in a row is no easy task in the NHL and especially when you’re facing Connor McDavid. The model may not realize exactly how good the Devils are, but I think whenever you can get McDavid at +136, you take it. As a bonus for the Oilers, they will go back to Stuart Skinner tonight, who was outstanding vs. the Golden Knights on Saturday and comes into play with a .930 SV% in nine games (eight starts) this season. We won’t go big, but this is nice value on the Oilers.
1 Unit Bet: EDM ML +136
Colorado Avalanche (@ DAL) +102
Similar to betting McDavid at plus-money, whenever you can get the Avalanche as underdogs, it’s good value. The Stars are a great home-ice team, but Roope Hintz isn’t 100 percent, and Nathan MacKinnon, Mikko Rantanen, and Cale Makar are heating up. Not to mention, Alexandar Georgiev looks like a completely different goalie in Colorado. He’s coming off of a 32-save shutout and has a .930 SV% in 11 starts this season (8-2-1). Even more impressive, he’s 5-1-0 with a .947 SV% in six road appearances. This should be a tight game, but the model sees Colorado as -125 favourites, so there’s outstanding value on them at +102.
1 Unit Bet: COL +102