Daily NHL Betting Guide – 12/02/22
Welcome to our Betting Guide brought to you by NHL Betting site Betway!
Getting a little skin in the game can make watching NHL hockey even more exciting.
During the 2022-23 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor thanks to this betting model and our betting tools.
NHL MODEL PICKS
Each day we will look at each game, the Sportsbook Odds (via Betway), and the odds of each team winning based on the model created by Philip Bulsink. Based on those two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams we need to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to keep an eye on throughout the day.
You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:
I will also provide some analysis on the best bets and update this post throughout the day to point out big injury news, lineup changes, and backup goalies starting.
The number to keep an eye on is the “Diff.” which is the percentage difference between the model’s projected Win% and the projected Win% based on PointsBet odds. To find out how odds turn into percentages, use our Odds Calculator.
Friday, December 2
BETTING GUIDE PRESENTED BY BETWAY
Season-to-date
- Record: 38-29
- Units: +17.25
- ROI: +25.74%
Recommended Bets
The model doesn’t see any value on any of the three games tonight, so here are some BONUS shot props for this evening:
Boone Jenner ov2.5 SOG (-145)
Jenner has hit this prop in four straight games and nine times in his last 11 games (81.8%) while averaging 3.7 shots per game. Jenner continues to play in the highly coveted spot between Johnny Gaudreau and Patrik Laine (who returns from injury on Thursday) and that trio has been very good so far this season. They’ve posted a 54.1 CF% and 57.2 xGF% together, so Jenner should have plenty of offensive zone touches and chances to get the three-plus shots tonight.
1 Unit Bet: Jenner ov2.5 SOG (-145)
Brady Tkachuk ov3.5 SOG (-145)
Tkachuk has hit this prop in eight straight games and 11 times in his last 12 games (91.7%). Over that span he has averaged an absurd 5.5 SOG per game. He never hesitates to get pucks toward the net and faces the Rangers again tonight after firing four SOG agains them on Wednesday.
1 Unit Bet: Tkachuk ov3.5 SOG (-145)