Daily NHL Betting Guide – 12/20/22
Welcome to our Betting Guide brought to you by NHL Betting site Betway!
Getting a little skin in the game can make watching NHL hockey even more exciting.
During the 2022-23 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor thanks to this betting model and our betting tools.
NHL MODEL PICKS
Each day we will look at each game, the Sportsbook Odds (via Betway), and the odds of each team winning based on the model created by Philip Bulsink. Based on those two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams we need to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to keep an eye on throughout the day.
You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:
I will also provide some analysis on the best bets and update this post throughout the day to point out big injury news, lineup changes, and backup goalies starting.
The number to keep an eye on is the “Diff.” which is the percentage difference between the model’s projected Win% and the projected Win% based on Betway odds. To find out how odds turn into percentages, use our Odds Calculator.
Tuesday, December 20
BETTING GUIDE PRESENTED BY BETWAY
Season-to-date
- Record: 50-35
- Units: +24.64
- ROI: +27.99%
Recommended Bets
Tampa Bay Lightning (@ TOR) +121
There are a few great matchups on Tuesday’s eight-game slate, and Toronto vs. Tampa Bay might be the best of the bunch. The Lightning come in on a five-game winning streak, and the offence has been red-hot, scoring 24 goals (4.8 GF/gm) during that stretch. After a sluggish 7-6-1 start to the season, the Lightning have won 13 of their last 16 while averaging 4.2 goals for and 2.5 goals against per game. During that time, Tampa is third in the NHL in xGF%, ranking second in xGF and eighth in xGA. Toronto is ninth in xGF% (11th in both xGF and xGA) and have been carried by a league-high .931 SV%. Tampa comes in playing better hockey and still have one of the best goalies in the league, who has a .937 SV% in his last eight games, so getting them at +121 seems like quite the bargain.
2 Unit Bet: TBL ML +121
Carolina Hurricanes (vs. NJD) -123
This line seems thin to begin with, and there’s the added bonus of Sebastian Aho potentially playing and/or Mackenzie Blackwood starting for the Devils. Even if both of those things don’t happen, the Hurricanes are playing excellent hockey. They’ve won nine of their last 10 and have won the xG battle in eight of those games. Meanwhile, the Devils have cooled off considerably, losing five straight and losing the xG battle in four of their last seven. Their defence hasn’t been as stifling, and the goaltending has suffered recently as a result. The model loves Carolina tonight, so let’s jump all over that -123.
2 Unit Bet: CAR ML -123