Daily NHL betting guide: April 27
Getting a little skin in the game can make watching NHL hockey even more exciting.
During the 2021-22 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor thanks to this betting model and our betting tools.
NHL MODEL PICKS
Each day we will look at each game, the Sportsbook Odds (via PointsBet), and the odds of each team winning based on the model created by Philip Bulsink. Based on those two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams we need to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to keep an eye on throughout the day.
You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:
All “Recommended Bets” are 1 unit wagers.
I will also provide some analysis on the best bets and update this post throughout the day to point out big injury news, lineup changes, and backup goalies starting.
The number to keep an eye on is the “Diff.” which is the percentage difference between the model’s projected Win% and the projected Win% based on PointsBet odds. To find out how odds turn into percentages, use our Odds Calculator.
Wednesday, April 27
Model’s Picks
Record: 71-69-1
Units: -0.35
ROI: -0.25%
Proceed with Caution ⚠️
New York Rangers (vs. MTL)
Betting on NHL games this late in the season can be tricky. Tonight the Rangers are going to be without Artemi Panarin and Andrew Copp for sure and announced that a few other regulars could be sitting out ahead of the playoffs–it sounds like Ryan Strome, Barclay Goodrow, Adam Fox and Ryan Lindgren. The reason the model likes the Rangers is that they are -194 but that number is affected by the lineup changes.
Arizona Coyotes (@ DAL)
The Coyotes had a huge win on Tuesday but will start Harri Sateri on Wednesday. He’s played so poorly (.822 SV%) that there’s absolutely no reason to invest your money on him tonight–even at +381.
Yaremchuk’s Pick – LA Kings -1.5 (+140)
It was a busy night and unfortunately, we finished down 0.7 units. Not great, but I suppose it could have been worse. Yes, the Kings have locked up a playoff spot and don’t really have a lot to play for, but I don’t think they’ll take their foot off the gas and this price is too good to pass up on. The Kraken just lost 5-2 to Vancouver last night and so far this season they’re 3-9-0 when playing the second half of back-to-backs. The Kings are the better team and they should win by two. I’m also taking the Stars over 3.5 goals tonight against Arizona. The payout isn’t great at -160 but I think Dallas will steamroll them tonight.
Yaremchuk’s Prop – Joe Pavelski over 0.5 assists (+105)
He’s hit this in five straight games and the Stars should have no problem putting up offense against the Coyotes. Arizona is averaging a league-high 4.92 GA/GP so far in April and this season, they’ve allowed an average of 3.88 GA/GP when playing the second of back-to-backs. Dallas should score and Pavelski should be involved.
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