Daily NHL betting guide: December 1
Getting a little skin in the game can make watching NHL hockey even more exciting.
During the 2021-22 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor thanks to this betting model and our betting tools.
NHL MODEL PICKS
Each day we will look at each game, the Sportsbook Odds (via PointsBet), and the odds of each team winning based on the model created by Philip Bulsink. Based on those two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams we need to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to keep an eye on throughout the day.
You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:
All “Recommended Bets” are 1 unit wagers.
I will also provide some analysis on the best bets and update this post throughout the day to point out big injury news, lineup changes, and backup goalies starting.
The number to keep an eye on is the “Diff.” which is the percentage difference between the model’s projected Win% and the projected Win% based on PointsBet odds. To find out how odds turn into percentages, use our Odds Calculator.
Brock Seguin’s Pick
Recommended Bet
Ottawa Senators (vs. VAN)
The Senators come into Wednesday’s matchup with the worst record in the NHL (4-14-1) but they will get a big boost with Drake Batherson returning to the lineup. Despite missing five games, Batherson still leads the Senators with 16 points (7G / 9A). Vancouver is at the end of a lengthy road-trip and have lost six of its last seven road games.
Getting Batherson back is enough to get behind the Senators as home underdogs against a Canucks team that are still struggling more often than not.
1 Unit Bet: OTT +112
Line to Watch
Colorado Avalanche (@ TOR)
Two of the NHL’s best teams are set to face-off on Wednesday and the Avalanche will get Nathan MacKinnon back. The model is close to recommending a bet on Colorado as +114 underdogs but likes them more if that line gets to +120.
1 Unit Bet: COL at +120 or better
Tyler Yaremchuk’s Picks
Game Pick
Yaremchuk’s Pick – VGK in regulation (-105)
Both of these teams come into the game with six wins in their last ten, but still, I like Vegas to come away with a regulation win tonight. The Golden Knights are starting to heat up at 5v5 and I think that could be trouble for a Ducks team that’s playing in the second of back-to-backs. I’m taking a rested Vegas team in this one.
Yaremchuk’s Prop – Dylan Larkin over 0.5 points (-140)
I think this is a good spot. Larkin had his seven-game point streak snapped in the Red Wings game against Boston. He has picked up points in eight of his last ten and even though Seattle has done a better job of preventing offense of late, I still think Larkin can get back on the scoresheet tonight. -140 is good value