Daily NHL betting guide: December 6
Getting a little skin in the game can make watching NHL hockey even more exciting.
During the 2021-22 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor thanks to this betting model and our betting tools.
NHL MODEL PICKS
Each day we will look at each game, the Sportsbook Odds (via PointsBet), and the odds of each team winning based on the model created by Philip Bulsink. Based on those two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams we need to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to keep an eye on throughout the day.
You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:
All “Recommended Bets” are 1 unit wagers.
I will also provide some analysis on the best bets and update this post throughout the day to point out big injury news, lineup changes, and backup goalies starting.
The number to keep an eye on is the “Diff.” which is the percentage difference between the model’s projected Win% and the projected Win% based on PointsBet odds. To find out how odds turn into percentages, use our Odds Calculator.
Brock Seguin’s Pick
Recommended Bet
Los Angeles Kings (@ VAN)
The Canucks cleaned house on Sunday night and hired Bruce Boudreau as their new head coach. While the hire should be a great thing for the Canucks moving forward, he doesn’t exactly have time to implement a new system ahead of tonight’s game vs. the Kings.
Los Angeles comes in on back-to-back but on the heels of a 5-1 blowout win over the Oilers.
Even with all the commotion surrounding the Canucks right now, the oddsmakers have them as favorites tonight. Meanwhile, the model gives the Kings a very marginal edge, meaning there’s value on them at +123.
1 Unit Bet: LAK +123
Tyler Yaremchuk’s Pick
Recommended Bet
Colorado Avalanche and Philadelphia Flyers to hit the Over (6.5 goals)
The Avalanche have been the best offensive team in the NHL this season, averaging 4.00 goals per game. Tonight, they’ll go up against a Flyers team that has just one win in their last 10 games and have really struggled to keep pucks out of their net.
Martin Jones is their expected starter and he’s allowed 15 goals against in his last four starts. The over has also hit in three of the last four games for each of these clubs. The coaching change made by Philadelphia today doesn’t change my mind on this pick either. I think there will be plenty of goals today.