Daily NHL betting guide: January 29
Getting a little skin in the game can make watching NHL hockey even more exciting.
During the 2021-22 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor thanks to this betting model and our betting tools.
NHL MODEL PICKS
Each day we will look at each game, the Sportsbook Odds (via PointsBet), and the odds of each team winning based on the model created by Philip Bulsink. Based on those two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams we need to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to keep an eye on throughout the day.
You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:
All “Recommended Bets” are 1 unit wagers.
I will also provide some analysis on the best bets and update this post throughout the day to point out big injury news, lineup changes, and backup goalies starting.
The number to keep an eye on is the “Diff.” which is the percentage difference between the model’s projected Win% and the projected Win% based on PointsBet odds. To find out how odds turn into percentages, use our Odds Calculator.
Model’s Picks
Proceed with Caution ⚠️
Ottawa Senators (vs. ANA)
This morning I was drinking my coffee and wrote up about how I can get behind the model’s choice of Ottawa, as long as Josh Norris plays. As I was set to hit “save draft,” Norris was ruled out and Anton Forsberg was confirmed to start in net. With two-thirds of their top line unavailable and their backup goalie starting, this became a pass for me.
Montreal Canadiens (vs. EDM)
In their last 10 games, Montreal is dead last in xGF% (40.14), including dead last in xGA/60 (3.53). That’s not going to cut it against Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl and the rest of the Oilers.