Daily NHL betting guide: March 10
Getting a little skin in the game can make watching NHL hockey even more exciting.
During the 2021-22 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor thanks to this betting model and our betting tools.
NHL MODEL PICKS
Each day we will look at each game, the Sportsbook Odds (via PointsBet), and the odds of each team winning based on the model created by Philip Bulsink. Based on those two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams we need to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to keep an eye on throughout the day.
You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:
All “Recommended Bets” are 1 unit wagers.
I will also provide some analysis on the best bets and update this post throughout the day to point out big injury news, lineup changes, and backup goalies starting.
The number to keep an eye on is the “Diff.” which is the percentage difference between the model’s projected Win% and the projected Win% based on PointsBet odds. To find out how odds turn into percentages, use our Odds Calculator.
Thursday, March 10
Model’s Picks
Record: 60-51
Units: +3.24
ROI: +2.92%
Proceed with Caution ⚠️
Winnipeg Jets (@ NJD)
The Jets opened as -122 favourites but the line moved towards the Devils drastically after it was announced that Eric Comrie will start for Winnipeg. As a result, the model is seeing a ton of value on the Jets but it’s not as good as it looks.
Yaremchuk’s Picks
Yaremchuk’s Pick – Toronto/Arizona over 6.5 (-125)
The parlay hit last night, so that’s nice. Tonight, I’m taking what I assume will be a very popular play with the over between the Maple Leafs and Coyotes. The Leafs’ goaltending has been horrible recently and the Coyotes’ offence has been red hot. That should lead to a lot of offense. The over has hit in three of the Leafs’ four games this month and it’s hit twice in a row for the Coyotes.
Yaremchuk’s Prop – Clayton Keller over 0.5 assists (+135)
The payout here is fantastic considering Keller has hit this in seven of his last ten games. His hot streak actually stretches back further than that as well. He has at least one assist in 12 of his last 16 games. I think this game will be high scoring and I like Keller to grab an apple.