Daily NHL betting guide: March 18
Getting a little skin in the game can make watching NHL hockey even more exciting.
During the 2021-22 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor thanks to this betting model and our betting tools.
NHL MODEL PICKS
Each day we will look at each game, the Sportsbook Odds (via PointsBet), and the odds of each team winning based on the model created by Philip Bulsink. Based on those two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams we need to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to keep an eye on throughout the day.
You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:
All “Recommended Bets” are 1 unit wagers.
I will also provide some analysis on the best bets and update this post throughout the day to point out big injury news, lineup changes, and backup goalies starting.
The number to keep an eye on is the “Diff.” which is the percentage difference between the model’s projected Win% and the projected Win% based on PointsBet odds. To find out how odds turn into percentages, use our Odds Calculator.
Friday, March 18
Model’s Picks
Record: 62-54
Units: +2.78
ROI: +2.40%
The model is taking a night off after an 0-1 night on Thursday. It does not see value on any of the current lines for Friday’s six-game slate.
Yaremchuk’s Picks
Yaremchuk’s Pick – Colorado -1.5 vs San Jose (-105)
I’m surprised that this line is set where it’s at. I think the Avalanche should be able to handle a Sharks team that just played last night and lost 3-0 to the LA Kings. The Avs have covered the puck line in back-to-back games and I just don’t think they’ll let this one slip. I also love the Flames -1.5 vs Buffalo tonight at -140. The payout isn’t great, but the Sabres did not look good last night against Edmonton and Calgary is a much better team. Two puck lines on a Friday!