Daily NHL betting guide: March 19
Getting a little skin in the game can make watching NHL hockey even more exciting.
During the 2021-22 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor thanks to this betting model and our betting tools.
NHL MODEL PICKS
Each day we will look at each game, the Sportsbook Odds (via PointsBet), and the odds of each team winning based on the model created by Philip Bulsink. Based on those two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams we need to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to keep an eye on throughout the day.
You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:
All “Recommended Bets” are 1 unit wagers.
I will also provide some analysis on the best bets and update this post throughout the day to point out big injury news, lineup changes, and backup goalies starting.
The number to keep an eye on is the “Diff.” which is the percentage difference between the model’s projected Win% and the projected Win% based on PointsBet odds. To find out how odds turn into percentages, use our Odds Calculator.
Saturday, March 19
Model’s Picks
Record: 62-54
Units: +2.78
ROI: +2.40%
Recommended Bets
Arizona Coyotes (vs. PIT)
The Arizona Coyotes are in action, so you could probably guess that the model would like them tonight. They are huge home underdogs (+214) and the model sees enough value there to suggest a bet on them yet again. They’ve been great to us this season, so why doubt it now?
1 Unit Bet: ARI +214
Ottawa Senators (@ MTL)
The Senators have a bad loss and a good win to start the week and will look to win on back-to-back nights on Saturday. The back-to-back is likely the reason that they’re +136 underdogs but the model sees them as -102 favourites, so we’re willing to take a chance on a Senators team on no rest. The Canadiens are playing their fifth game in seven days, so they won’t be very fresh either.
1 Unit Bet: OTT +136
New York Rangers (@ TBL)
The Lightning seem to have figured something out at the end of their road trip but they still don’t seem to be at the very top of their game right now. The sportsbooks appear to think they are though, as they’re -196 home favourites. To me, whenever you can get Igor Shesterkin as a +175 underdog, it’s a good bet.
1 Unit Bet: NYR +175