Daily NHL betting guide: March 29
Getting a little skin in the game can make watching NHL hockey even more exciting.
During the 2021-22 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor thanks to this betting model and our betting tools.
NHL MODEL PICKS
Each day we will look at each game, the Sportsbook Odds (via PointsBet), and the odds of each team winning based on the model created by Philip Bulsink. Based on those two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams we need to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to keep an eye on throughout the day.
You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:
All “Recommended Bets” are 1 unit wagers.
I will also provide some analysis on the best bets and update this post throughout the day to point out big injury news, lineup changes, and backup goalies starting.
The number to keep an eye on is the “Diff.” which is the percentage difference between the model’s projected Win% and the projected Win% based on PointsBet odds. To find out how odds turn into percentages, use our Odds Calculator.
Tuesday, March 29
Model’s Picks
Record: 65-59
Units: +1.49
ROI: +1.20%
Recommended Bets
Carolina Hurricanes (@ TBL)
The Hurricanes are coming off of a dominant win in Washington last night and have won two in a row while outscoring the Blues and Capitals 13-to-3. Carolina has won each of their first two meetings vs. Tampa Bay but comes into Tuesday’s game as +126 underdogs. The back-to-back situation is built into that line and the model sees value in them as road underdogs.
1 Unit Bet: CAR +126
Yaremchuk’s Picks
Yaremchuk’s Pick – Panthers/Wild regulation parlay (+127)
The LA Kings let me down last night and for that, I will never forgive them. Tonight, I’m once again rolling with two of the biggest favourites on the slate. The Panthers are going with Sergei Bobrovsky tonight and they’re 7-2-1 in their last ten. The Canadiens have just three wins in their last ten. Out West, the Wild are red hot right now. They’ve won six in a row and I can’t see them letting this one tonight slip away against a Flyers team that’s been below average all season. They’ve also dropped three of their first four games on this current road trip with all three of those losses coming in regulation. I’m also taking the Stars to beat the Ducks in regulation at -110. The Ducks have been brutal since the trade deadline and the Stars are in the thick of a playoff race and while they had their three-game winning streak snapped on the weekend, they’re rested for this game tonight.
Yaremchuk’s Prop – Anders Lee over 0.5 assists (+122)
McDavid had an early goal against Arizona but couldn’t get the second point we needed to hit both props. Such a shame. Tonight, I’m liking Anders Lee to grab an assist. He only has 13 on the season but he’s hit this mark in three of his last four games and is really starting to heat up. I’m also taking Claude Giroux to grab an assist at +105 against Montreal. He has four assists since joining the Panthers.