Daily NHL betting guide: March 5
Getting a little skin in the game can make watching NHL hockey even more exciting.
During the 2021-22 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor thanks to this betting model and our betting tools.
NHL MODEL PICKS
Each day we will look at each game, the Sportsbook Odds (via PointsBet), and the odds of each team winning based on the model created by Philip Bulsink. Based on those two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams we need to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to keep an eye on throughout the day.
You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:
All “Recommended Bets” are 1 unit wagers.
I will also provide some analysis on the best bets and update this post throughout the day to point out big injury news, lineup changes, and backup goalies starting.
The number to keep an eye on is the “Diff.” which is the percentage difference between the model’s projected Win% and the projected Win% based on PointsBet odds. To find out how odds turn into percentages, use our Odds Calculator.
Saturday, March 5
Model’s Picks
Record: 59-50
Units: +2.94
ROI: +2.70%
Proceed with Caution ⚠️
Columbus Blue Jackets (vs. BOS)
This is a tough spot for the Blue Jackets, they lost to the Los Angeles Kings last night and get the Boston Bruins on the second half of a back-to-back. The model sees some value in them as +197 underdogs but with Elvis Merzlikins starting for the second straight night and the Bruins coming in red-hot, having won six of their last seven. It’s probably safer to pass on this one.
Yaremchuk’s Picks
Yaremchuk’s Pick – Blues in regulation vs the Islanders (+105)
Alright, we got a win last night so let’s hope that this is the start of a streak. The Blues are coming off a loss, but before that, they won four in a row, all in regulation. The Islanders have lost two in a row, both in regulation as well. The Blues are 13-9-4 on the road and the Islanders 10-11-4 at home. One unit on them in regulation and half a unit on the puck line is my play here. I’m also taking the Oilers on the puck line against Montreal. The Canadiens won’t have Andrew Hammond for the game tonight and the Oilers beat them 7-2 last time they met.
Yaremchuk’s Prop – Roman Josi over 0.5 assists (-120)
He’s hit this mark in seven of his last ten games and the Predators are playing a Sharks team that they should be able to score against. He’s only hit it in one of his last three, but I’m still confident in this play tonight.