Daily NHL betting guide: November 12
Getting a little skin in the game can make watching NHL hockey even more exciting.
During the 2021-22 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor thanks to this betting model and our betting tools.
Each day we will look at each game, the Sportsbook Odds (via PointsBet), and the odds of each team winning based on the model created by Philip Bulsink. Based on those two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams we need to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to keep an eye on throughout the day.
You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:
All “Recommended Bets” are 1 unit wagers.
I will also provide some analysis on the best bets and update this post throughout the day to point out big injury news, lineup changes, and backup goalies starting.
The number to keep an eye on is the “Diff.” which is the percentage difference between the model’s projected Win% and the projected Win% based on PointsBet odds. To find out how odds turn into percentages, use our Odds Calculator.
November 12th, 2021
Recommended Bets
Carolina Hurricanes (vs. PHI)
We are one month into the season and the Hurricanes have lost one game. They are one of the best teams in the NHL at 5v5 and rank in the top-10 on the PP and PK. With Frederik Andersen’s stellar play, the Hurricanes have become a complete team this year and the model loves them on Friday.
They should have a huge advantage at 5v5. They rank second in the NHL in xGF/60 (2.79), while the Flyers are 27th in xGA/60 (2.60). The Flyers have also been very giving on the penalty-kill and their power-play is not clicking right now. Carolina truly has an advantage in every aspect of the game, so I’m in agreement with the model at -180.
1 Unit Bet: CAR -180
2021-22 Season Record
- Record: 15-15
- Units: -3.17
- ROI: -10.57%