Daily NHL betting guide: November 21

Getting a little skin in the game can make watching NHL hockey even more exciting.
During the 2021-22 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor thanks to this betting model and our betting tools.
Each day we will look at each game, the Sportsbook Odds (via PointsBet), and the odds of each team winning based on the model created by Philip Bulsink. Based on those two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams we need to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to keep an eye on throughout the day.
You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:

All “Recommended Bets” are 1 unit wagers.
I will also provide some analysis on the best bets and update this post throughout the day to point out big injury news, lineup changes, and backup goalies starting.
The number to keep an eye on is the “Diff.” which is the percentage difference between the model’s projected Win% and the projected Win% based on PointsBet odds. To find out how odds turn into percentages, use our Odds Calculator.
November 21st, 2021

Recommended Bet
Washington Capitals (@ SEA)
Even with the Capitals on a back-to-back, the model loves them too much to ignore. Washington is 2-0-1 while only giving up three goals in their first three games of this current road trip and have won six of their last seven games. Meanwhile, the Kraken still can’t get any goaltending. They are first in the NHL in xGA but last in GA and SV%. Until someone can make a stop, the Kraken won’t win games.
1 Unit Bet: WSH -121
Proceed with Caution ⚠️
Tampa Bay Lightning (vs. MIN)
With Brian Elliott starting in net for the Lightning, it’s hard to agree with the model on this one.
New York Islanders (vs. TOR)
The Islanders were pretty competitive last night with a depleted lineup. However, it’s a lot to ask out of them again tonight vs. the Maple Leafs. They are just missing too many key pieces.