Daily NHL Betting Guide: October 14
Getting a little skin in the game can make watch NHL hockey even more exciting.
During the 2021-22 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor thanks to this betting model and our betting tools.
Each day we will look at each game, the Sportsbook Odds (via PointsBet), and the odds of each team winning based on the model created by Philip Bulsink. Based on those two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams we need to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to keep an eye on throughout the day.
You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:
All “Recommended Bets” are 1 unit wagers.
I will also provide some analysis on the best bets and update this post throughout the day to point out big injury news, lineup changes, and backup goalies starting.
The number to keep an eye on is the “Diff.” which is the percentage difference between the model’s projected Win% and the projected Win% based on PointsBet odds. To find out how odds turn into percentages, use our Odds Calculator.
October 14th, 2021
Recommended Bet
Vegas Golden Knights (@ LAK)
The Golden Knights opened the season at 1-0 and have another nice matchup in Game 2. The Kings are going to be a better team this season but they are not on the same level as Vegas. The model likes Vegas as a bet if you can find them around -155, but their current line of -160 may be as good as you’ll get.
1 unit bet -160
Lines to Watch
Arizona Coyotes (@ CBJ)
The model likes the Arizona Coyotes at +140 in Columbus this evening but probably hasn’t adjusted to how bad they are likely to be this year. The Coyotes completely dismantled their roster this offseason and it will likely take some time before the model realizes that this is one of the worst teams in the NHL.
We will not be making this bet tonight, we want to give the model some more time to ingest their new performance metrics
Pittsburgh Penguins (@ FLA)
The Penguins made our lines to watch on Opening Night and surprised the defending champs, even without Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin and Jake Guentzel. It looks like they could get Guentzel back tonight and look like there’s some value on them at +155. However, like the Coyotes, the model likely doesn’t recognize how much the Panthers improved this offseason, making it another risky early-season bet.