Daily NHL Betting Guide: October 16
Getting a little skin in the game can make watch NHL hockey even more exciting.
During the 2021-22 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor thanks to this betting model and our betting tools.
Each day we will look at each game, the Sportsbook Odds (via PointsBet), and the odds of each team winning based on the model created by Philip Bulsink. Based on those two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams we need to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to keep an eye on throughout the day.
You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:
All “Recommended Bets” are 1 unit wagers.
I will also provide some analysis on the best bets and update this post throughout the day to point out big injury news, lineup changes, and backup goalies starting.
The number to keep an eye on is the “Diff.” which is the percentage difference between the model’s projected Win% and the projected Win% based on PointsBet odds. To find out how odds turn into percentages, use our Odds Calculator.
October 16th, 2021
Recommended Bet
Pittsburgh Penguins (vs. CHI)
Despite losing in overtime vs. the Panthers, it was another strong performance from the banged-up Penguins. Their top-6 had a dominating performance against a Panthers’ top-6 that is considered one of the best in the NHL. Tonight they’ll be missing Bryan Rust (undisclosed) but will likely get Zack Aston-Reese back. Chicago is coming off of an overtime loss last night, so this is a good opportunity for the Penguins to take advantage of a team on a back-to-back.
The model might be overvaluing this Penguins team a little bit but it sees plenty of value in them at -136.
1 unit bet -136