Daily NHL Betting Guide: October 18

Oct 18, 2021, 11:25 EDT

Getting a little skin in the game can make watch NHL hockey even more exciting.

During the 2021-22 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor thanks to this betting model and our betting tools.

Each day we will look at each game, the Sportsbook Odds (via PointsBet), and the odds of each team winning based on the model created by Philip Bulsink. Based on those two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams we need to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to keep an eye on throughout the day.

You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:

All “Recommended Bets” are 1 unit wagers.

I will also provide some analysis on the best bets and update this post throughout the day to point out big injury news, lineup changes, and backup goalies starting.

The number to keep an eye on is the “Diff.” which is the percentage difference between the model’s projected Win% and the projected Win% based on PointsBet odds. To find out how odds turn into percentages, use our Odds Calculator.

October 18th, 2021

Lines to Watch

Seattle Kraken (@ PHI)

The model is suggesting a bet on the Kraken at +115 in Philadelphia tonight. However, the data on Seattle is still very premature and it’s probably smart to wait and let the model collect more information on this team. Still, they’ve looked very solid so far, particularly defensively. Meanwhile, the Flyers didn’t look great in their opener, so if the line starts moving in Philadelphia’s favor, the Kraken might be worth a look.

New York Rangers (@ TOR)

Vegas has the Rangers as sizeable underdogs in Toronto tonight but the model thinks it’s closer. If the line continues to move Toronto’s way, the Rangers certainly present a lot of value. However, the Rangers will be without Ryan Strome (COVID-19 protocol) and Kaapo Kakko (upper-body), which makes me a little hesitant.