NHL betting schedule breakdown, rest edges: Jan. 27 – Feb. 2

Rest and fatigue have significant impacts on the NHL schedule, but they aren’t always reflected in betting odds. In fact, the betting market seems to undervalue them, with rested teams outperforming their odds and tired teams underperforming theirs. That’s why we kick off each week with a breakdown of which teams will have an advantage or disadvantage based on the schedule.
The table below shows how home-ice advantage was influenced by rest last season:
Rest Diff | Games | Home Win % | Implied Odds |
Home > | 373 | 59.0% | 55.9% |
Home = | 690 | 53.8% | 55.4% |
Home < | 249 | 47.8% | 50.8% |
Here’s how rest has impacted home-ice advantage this season:
Rest Diff | Games | Home Win % | Implied Odds |
Home > | 227 | 60.4% | 56.0% |
Home = | 408 | 54.7% | 54.8% |
Home < | 153 | 47.1% | 51.9% |
Monday, January 27th
The week kicks off with five games on Monday, and schedule-wise, there isn’t much to discuss. The Philadelphia Flyers, coming off a two-day break, are the only team with a rest advantage, as the other nine teams have had just one day off.
Other | Rest Days | Visitor | Home | Rest Days | Other |
1 | LAK | DET | 1 | ||
1 | NJD | PHI | 2 | ||
1 | VAN | STL | 1 | ||
1 | SEA | EDM | 1 | ||
1 | PIT | SJS | 1 |
Tuesday, January 28th
Tuesday’s schedule features a few marquee games and several matchups in which one team will have a rest advantage over the other. The Montreal Canadiens face a tough challenge as they try to avoid a third consecutive loss against the Winnipeg Jets, but they’ll have rest on their side. The same goes for the New York Islanders, who will host the new-look Colorado Avalanche following a two-day break. However, the Chicago Blackhawks are in a less favorable position as they visit a rested Tampa Bay Lightning team. Carolina, Dallas, and Washington are also in good spots despite being on the road. Meanwhile, Anaheim gains a significant edge, as the Ducks will be well-rested when they visit Seattle following the Kraken’s road game in Edmonton on Monday.
Other | Rest Days | Visitor | Home | Rest Days | Other |
2 | BOS | BUF | 2 | ||
1 | WPG | MTL | 2 | ||
1 | CHI | TBL | 2 | ||
2 | CAR | NYR | 1 | ||
3/4 | 1 | COL | NYI | 2 | |
2 | WSH | CGY | 1 | 3/4 | |
2 | DAL | VGK | 1 | 4/6 | |
2 | ANA | SEA | 0 | 2/2 |
Wednesday, January 29th
Road teams will have a tough time on Wednesday, as the schedule favors four out of the five home teams. Minnesota will be well-rested, having had two days off heading into its game against the Toronto Maple Leafs, though the Leafs will still have a one-day rest advantage. The Florida Panthers will also be well-rested when they host the Los Angeles Kings, a different scenario from last week when the Panthers lost 2-1 in Los Angeles during the second half of a back-to-back. Elsewhere, the Pittsburgh Penguins will conclude a seven-game road trip in Utah, while the Nashville Predators will aim to bounce back with a two-day rest advantage in their game against the Vancouver Canucks.
Other | Rest Days | Visitor | Home | Rest Days | Other |
2 | MIN | TOR | 3 | ||
1 | LAK | FLA | 2 | ||
1 | PHI | NJD | 1 | ||
1 | VAN | NSH | 3 | ||
1 | PIT | UTA | 2 |
Thursday, January 30th
Although the weekend is packed with NHL action, Thursday’s schedule is the busiest day of the week, with three teams playing the second half of back-to-back games. The Minnesota Wild will travel to Montreal to face the Canadiens following their game in Toronto on Tuesday. The Los Angeles Kings will take on the Lightning in Tampa Bay just one day after facing the Panthers, while the Philadelphia Flyers will return home to host the New York Islanders after playing in New Jersey on Wednesday.
The Ottawa Senators will have a two-day rest advantage when they return from a three-day break to host the Washington Capitals. The San Jose Sharks will also be well-rested when they visit Seattle to take on the Kraken, who will be playing their third game in four days. However, the Columbus Blue Jackets will have the biggest schedule-based edge of the day.
Other | Rest Days | Visitor | Home | Rest Days | Other |
1 | WPG | BOS | 1 | ||
2/2 | 0 | MIN | MTL | 1 | |
1 | WSH | OTT | 3 | ||
2/2 | 0 | LAK | TBL | 1 | |
1 | NYI | PHI | 0 | 2/2 | |
1 | CHI | CAR | 1 | ||
1 | ANA | CGY | 1 | 4/6 | |
2 | DET | EDM | 2 | ||
4 | CBJ | VGK | 1 | ||
2 | SJS | SEA | 1 | 3/4 |
Friday, January 31st
On Friday, St. Louis continues its playoff push as it returns from a three-day break to visit the Colorado Avalanche, who will also be well-rested. Both Buffalo and Dallas will have an advantage over their opponents, thanks to some extra rest. Meanwhile, the Utah Hockey Club will face the Blue Jackets, who will be the only truly tired team on Friday.
Other | Rest Days | Visitor | Home | Rest Days | Other |
1 | NSH | BUF | 2 | ||
1 | VAN | DAL | 2 | ||
3 | STL | COL | 2 | ||
2/2 | 0 | CBJ | UTA | 1 |
Saturday, February 1st
Saturday’s NHL slate features nine games, but only the Nashville Predators will be tired after playing on Friday. They’ll face a Pittsburgh Penguins team playing its first home game since January 14. Meanwhile, both the Wild and the Kings will be playing their third game in four nights.
Florida’s rest advantage against Chicago will make the Panthers even bigger favorites than they would be otherwise. The New York Rangers will also benefit from a two-day rest advantage, which could tip the scales in their favor against the Boston Bruins. Additionally, the schedule-makers gave the Toronto Maple Leafs an extra day of rest ahead of their game against the Edmonton Oilers.
Other | Rest Days | Visitor | Home | Rest Days | Other |
1 | CHI | FLA | 2 | ||
3 | NYR | BOS | 1 | ||
3/4 | 1 | MIN | OTT | 1 | |
1 | NYI | TBL | 1 | ||
2/2 | 0 | NSH | PIT | 2 | |
1 | WPG | WSH | 1 | ||
3/4 | 1 | LAK | CAR | 1 | |
2 | TOR | EDM | 1 | ||
1 | DET | CGY | 1 |
Sunday, February 2nd
With no NFL football on Sunday, the NHL is taking full advantage by scheduling nine games. The New York Islanders and Florida Panthers will go head-to-head after both teams played on Saturday, while the Rangers, Red Wings, and Flames will also play their second game in two days. Both New York and Calgary will face well-rested teams, but the Flames are arguably in the toughest spot, having played six games in the last nine days.
Other | Rest Days | Visitor | Home | Rest Days | Other |
3 | NJD | BUF | 1 | ||
2 | PHI | COL | 1 | ||
2 | MTL | ANA | 2 | ||
2/2 | 0 | NYI | FLA | 0 | 2/2 |
2 | VGK | NYR | 0 | 2/2 | |
3/4 | 1 | CBJ | DAL | 1 | |
1 | STL | UTA | 1 | ||
2/2 | 0 | DET | VAN | 1 | |
6/9 | 0 | CGY | SEA | 2 |