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Power Play Stacking: November 27th

Power Play Stacking: November 27th

This is a new weekly free article, looking at special teams to find some power play stacks every Monday and Wednesday. For Premium members that read the Line-Matching articles, this may help find more of an edge when coupled with 5v5 play.

For PK stats, the ranking in brackets means “-worst”, i.e. Nashville’s 7:53 PKTOI/Gm (1st) means they have the worst mark in the league – so the lower the rank, the better they are defensively.


New Jersey Devils vs. Florida Panthers

StatsFlorida (A)New Jersey (H)
PP Time/Game 6:13 (5th) 5:51 (12th)
PK Time/Game 5:31 (18th) 6:18 (5th)
PP Shot Rate (/60) 59 (10th) 52 (21st)
PK Shot Allowed Rate 74 (2nd) 54 (19th)
PP HD Chance Rate 23 (11th) 21 (16th)
PK HD Chance Allowed Rate 26 (7th) 20 (20th)
PK HD Save % 87.50% (16th) 87.22% (14th)
Conclusion: Although the NJ power play is middle of the pack in terms of generating shots and chances, they do draw a slightly-above-average time on the power play, and face an absolutely atrocious Panthers’ penalty kill. Facing a team allowing the second-most shots allowed (about a ~10 shot/60 drop from second-place to third-place) and the seventh-most high-danger chances, the Devils are in a great spot tonight. The Devils get most of their shots from right around the crease area, and the rest come from the left point, so using Will Butcher in a PP stack would be the play. The Panthers typically funnel shots out to the point, so this sets up well for the Devils’ d-man.

On the other side, the Panthers have a strong power play facing a team that gets penalized a fair bit, with pedestrian numbers. Without Dadonov for the foreseeable future, their PP takes a small hit, and don’t expect any goals from the point – Keith Yandle is primarily a passer on the PP as they try to force the puck to the left for Jonathan Huberdeau. They don’t offer much more than a passing interest.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Philadelphia Flyers

StatsPhiladelphia (A)Pittsburgh (H)
PP Time/Game 5:16 (25th) 5:58 (8th)
PK Time/Game 5:17 (25th) 6:09 (8th)
PP Shot Rate (/60) 63 (3rd) 58 (11th)
PK Shot Allowed Rate 54 (21st) 54 (20th)
PP HD Chance Rate 22 (13th) 29 (3rd)
PK HD Chance Allowed Rate 24 (13th) 18 (28th)
PK HD Save % 81.08% (2nd)83.69% (3rd)
Conclusion: Pittsburgh’s power play is obviously extremely talented, generating the third-most high-danger chances (although only the 11th-most shots per 60). They have one of the best shooters in the league on the power play (Phil Kessel) and are facing some horrific goaltending and a team that allows the 13th-most HD chances. Philadelphia is strong at neutralizing the right side of the ice (the Kessel area), so the interest in power play would be the trigger man on the point or left side (Crosby or Letang) combined with the net-front players grabbing for rebounds (HornqvistGuentzel).

Pittsburgh’s penalty kill hasn’t been pretty this season, but that’s mostly just on poor goaltending. Allowing only 18HD chances per 60 and the 20th-least shots/60, they have a tougher test against a Flyers team that will shot it early and often and get to the dirty areas, but there’s not much interest in Philadelphia special teams in this game.

Montreal Canadiens vs. Columbus Blue Jackets

StatsColumbus (A)Montreal (H)
PP Time/Game 4:47 (28th) 5:58 (8th)
PK Time/Game 4:03 (31st) 5:30 (21st)
PP Shot Rate (/60) 44 (30th) 64 (2nd)
PK Shot Allowed Rate 58 (9th) 56 (13th)
PP HD Chance Rate 12 (30th) 26 (7th)
PK HD Chance Allowed Rate 20 (21st) 27 (3rd)
PK HD Save % 90.11% (27th) 84.68% (6th)
Conclusion: The Columbus PP is atrocious. Not much more needs to be said about this unit, even facing a very, very poor Montreal penalty kill. If going this route, the three players to target from the ‘Jackets power play would be Seth JonesCam Atkinson, and Nick Foligno – the way Columbus currently runs their PP is point shots and shots off the left circle (Atkinson), with Foligno as the net-front cleanup. Given how bad Montreal is, they could be a consideration but the Columbus shot/HD chance generation is just beyond awful so play at your own risk.

Montreal fires a ton of shots at even strength, and that doesn’t change when they have the extra attacker. They’ll fire the puck from anywhere, so if using MTL any of the top PP unit would be in play – but Bobrovsky is one of the best 4v5 netminders, and CBJ limits HD-chances fairly well although they also allow a bunch of shots. If not using Officer Bob in nets, MTL should be in consideration.

Winnipeg Jets vs. Minnesota Wild

StatsMinnesota (A)Winnipeg (H)
PP Time/Game 5:21 (24th) 5:30 (22nd)
PK Time/Game 5:56 (11th) 6:02 (9th)
PP Shot Rate (/60) 51 (20th) 56 (13th)
PK Shot Allowed Rate 52 (24th) 76 (1st)
PP HD Chance Rate 21 (16th) 16 (27th)
PK HD Chance Allowed Rate 19 (26th) 25 (9th)
PK Save % 88.62% (22nd) 89.53% (25th)
Conclusion: Minnesota doesn’t have the strongest power play, but they’ve been clicking recently thanks to the play of Granlund and Nino Niederreiter, and face one of the worst penalty kills in the league. Connor Hellebuyck has been good between the pipes for Winnipeg at 4v5, but the Jets take a ton of penalties and as the chart above shows, allows an ABSURD amount of shots against. For a team that allows 76 shots against per 60, they’re relatively good in allowing only 25HDCA/60, but that’s still ninth-worst. The half-walls and dots are pretty well un-protected by the Jets, so look for the wingers on the Wild and the right d-man (typically Suter) to step into some shots.

The Jets are in tough against a strong Wild PK, although Alex Stalock is an obvious downgrade from Devan Dubnyk. Most of the shots the Wild allow (both at 5v5 and 4v5) get funneled away from danger areas, so unless Stalock allows a lot of rebounds – always a possibility – the Jets don’t jump out.

Chicago Blackhawks vs. Anaheim Ducks

StatsAnaheim (A)Chicago (H)
PP Time/Game 5:03 (27th) 6:55 (2nd)
PK Time/Game 7:24 (2nd) 6:16 (6th)
PP Shot Rate (/60) 61 (7th) 50 (25th)
PK Shot Allowed Rate 60 (6th) 55 (16th)
PP HD Chance Rate 23 (13th) 15 (28th)
PK HD Chance Allowed Rate 26 (8th) 24 (14th)
PK Save % 90.12% (28th) 90.63% (29th)
Conclusion: The ‘Hawks power play has been very disappointing to this point in the season, but will have one of their best chances to keep righting the ship against a horrendous Anaheim team. Anaheim’s overall PK ranking of 9th (83.16%) is propped up by goaltending; the Ducks allow a boatload of shots against both at 5v5 and on the kill, sixth-most and eighth-most in terms of HD chances/60. Over their last 10, Anaheim has been a touch better in terms of SA/HDCA, but the trigger spot on the right side and the net-front are their real trouble spots. Brandon SaadCody FransonPatrick Kane are the three that will be shooting from the points or the right side, so they’re all in play, as is Artem Anisimov.

Without Rickard RakellRyan Getzlaf, Ryan Kesler, and on and on, there’s not much interest in the Anaheim side of this game. The Blackhawks are pretty effective at taking point shots away which is how the Ducks force the puck to the net, so they’re a hard no tonight.


Power Plays to Target
1) NJ PP1
2) PIT PP1 – Kessel although elite is the one to leave off if not full-stacking.
3) CHI
4) MTL