UNLOCKED: Line Matching – October 3rd

Oct 3, 2018, 16:43 EDT

Line Matching should typically be posted by the early afternoon EST Monday-Saturday. It will be free for the first three days of the regular season before it is locked for premium members only.

STATS

All totals are per 60 minutes of 5v5 ice time.
SCF/SCA- Scoring chances for and against
CF/CA – Corsi for and against
HDCF/HDCA – High-danger Chances for and against

Matchups

Which lines the Home team is expected to be matched up against.

💰 – All Prices are via DraftKings
1️⃣ – Indicates PP1 Usage
2️⃣ – Indicates PP2 Usage

Montreal Canadiens @ Toronto Maple Leafs

		Advantage	Matchup
MTL2 L: J. Drouin [$5,000] 1️⃣ C: J. Kotkaniemi [$2,500] 2️⃣ R: J. Armia [$3,900] 1️⃣	TOR1 L: Z. Hyman [$4,800] C: J. Tavares [$7,400] 1️⃣ R: M. Marner [$6,000] 1️⃣	TOR 1	Not a hard match, TOR 1 should see some time against MTL 3.
Sample:No Sample to use, Armia and Kotkaniemi new to the team.	Sample: Marner and Hyman only, 117 mins in 2017-18.
OFF: N/A	OFF: 30 SCF, 55 CF, 12 HDCF
DEF: N/A	DEF: 18 SCA, 56 CA, 6 HDCA
MTL3 L: P. Byron [$3,200] C: M. Domi [$4,900] 2️⃣ R: A. Lehkonen [$3,500] 2️⃣	TOR2 L: P. Marleau [$5,200] 2️⃣ C: A. Matthews [$7,000] 1️⃣ R: T. Ennis [$4,000] 2️⃣	Slight TOR 2	Not a hard match, TOR 2 should see some time against MTL 2.
Sample: Byron and Lehkonen only, 97 mins in 2017-18.	Sample: Matthews’ numbers away from Nylander, 210 mins in 2017-18.
OFF: 33 SCF, 64 CF, 16 HDCF	OFF: 31 SCF, 56 CF, 13 HDCF
DEF: 27 SCA, 59 CA, 12 HDCA	DEF: 29 SCA, 63 CA, 9 HDCA
MTL1 L: T. Tatar [$4,200] 1️⃣ C: P. Danault [$4,400] R: B. Gallagher [$5,400] 1️⃣	TOR3 L: J. Leivo [$3,600] C: N. Kadri [$5,100] 1️⃣ R: C. Brown [$3,600]	Slight TOR 3.	70/30 for TOR 3 vs MTL 1/2
Sample: Danault and Gallagher only, 32 mins in 2017-18.	Sample: Kadri’s numbers away from Marner, 683 mins in 2017-18.
OFF: 30 SCF, 80 CF, 17 HDCF	OFF: 29 SCF, 58 CF, 11 HDCF, 12 HDCA
DEF: 38 SCA, 69 CA, 23 HDCA	DEF: 29 SCA, 66 CA, 12 HDCA

Analysis:

TOR 1 is the line to target in this one. Marner and Hyman’s strong numbers together should be boosted by the addition of Tavares. This line will be chalky tonight, but including Hyman should help differentiate your lineup. Matthews’ numbers without Nylander gives the best indication of what to expect from him tonight. The 5v5 matchups are decent but including him in a powerplay stack with TOR 1 is ideal. Kadri was more commonly used in a shutdown role when he played away from Marner last season, which is why those numbers were used.

Boston Bruins @ Washington Capitals

		Advantage	Matchup
BOS2 L: J. DeBrusk [$4,700] 2️⃣ C: D. Krejci [$4,800] 2️⃣ R: D. Heinen [$4,200] 2️⃣	WSH1 L: A. Ovechkin [$8,000] 1️⃣ C: E. Kuznetsov [$6,400] 1️⃣ R: B. Connolly [$3,500] 2️⃣	Even	Not a hard match. WSH 1 should see time against BOS 3. BOS 2 should see time agaisnt WSH 3.
Sample: Krejci and Debrusk only, 579 mins in 2017-18.	Sample: Ovechkin and Kuznestov only, 557 mins in 2017-18.
OFF: 29 SCF, 61 CF, 9 HDCF	OFF: 30 SCF, 59 CF, 13 HDCF
DEF: 22 SCA, 51 CA, 9 HDCA	DEF: 30 SCA, 62 CA, 15 HDCA
BOS1 L: B. Marchand [$6,700] 1️⃣ C: P. Bergeron [$6,800] 1️⃣ R: D. Pastrnak [$6,200] 1️⃣	WSH2 L: J. Vrana [$4,700] 2️⃣ C: N. Backstrom [$5,500] 1️⃣ R: T. Oshie [$5,600] 1️⃣	Slight BOS 1.	Hard match.
Sample: 535 Mins in 2017-18.	Sample: Backstrom and Oshie only, 477 mins in 2017-18.
OFF: 33 SCF, 67 CF, 12 HDCF	OFF: 27 SCF, 58 CF, 9 HDCF
DEF: 24 SCA, 47 CA, 12 HDCA	DEF: 24 SCA, 54 CA, 10 HDCA
BOS3 L: R. Donato [$4,600] 1️⃣ C: S. Kuraly [$2,900] R: D. Backes [$4,300] 2️⃣	WSH3 L: A. Burakovsky [$3,900] C: L. Eller [$4,100] R: C. Stephenson [$2,900] 2️⃣	BOS 3 but it’s a low-event matchup.	Not a hard match. WSH 3 should see time against BOS 2. BOS 3 should see time against WSH 1.
Sample: Backes and Kuraly only, 42 mins in 2017-18.	Sample: Burakovsky and Eller only, 297 mins in 2017-18.
OFF: 23 SCF, 64 CF, 3 HDCF	OFF: 27 SCF, 58 CF, 8 HDCF
DEF: 16 SCA, 31 CA, 4 HDCF	DEF: 30 SCA, 61 CA, 15 HDCF

Analysis:

Washington 1 draws a tough matchup against a low-event Krejci line. It’s probably not worth paying the $8,000 to play Ovie but Connolly offers great punt value at $3,500. The price is right for Boston 1, but they’re locked in a matchup against the defensively-stout Backstrom line. You might be able to get them at relatively-low ownership tonight. Neither of Boston 3 or Washington 3 are worth playing, though Donato could be used in some powerplay stacks.

Calgary Flames @ Vancouver Canucks

		Advantage	Matchup
CGY1 L: J. Gaudreau [$6,400] 1️⃣ C: S. Monahan [$5,900] 1️⃣ R: E. Lindholm [$4,800] 1️⃣	VAN1 L: S. Baertschi [$4,600] 1️⃣ C: B. Horvat [$5,700] 1️⃣ R: B. Boeser [$6,300] 1️⃣	CGY 1	Not a hard match. Vancouver 1 will avoid Calgary 2 entirely and see split time against Calgary’s other three lines.
Sample: Gaudreau and Monahan only, 924 mins in 2017-18.	Sample: 336 mins in 2017-18.
OFF: 32 SCF, 69 CF, 15 HDCF	OFF: 25 SCF, 54 CF, 8 HDCF
DEF: 27 SCA, 56 CA, 12 HDCA	DEF: 29 SCA, 59 CA, 9 HDCA
CGY2 L: M. Tkachuk [$5,000] 1️⃣ C: M. Backlund [$5,000] 2️⃣ R: M. Frolik [$4,100]	VAN2 L: N. Goldobin [$3,300] 2️⃣ C: E. Pettersson [$4,700] 1️⃣ R: L. Eriksson [$4,300] 2️⃣	CGY 2	Not a hard match. Calgary 2 will see a mix of VAN 2, 3 and 4.
Sample: 619 mins in 2017-18.	Sample: No sample to use, Pettersson new to the team, Eriksson and Goldobin played less than 20 minutes together in 2017-18.
OFF: 33 SCF, 71 CF, 13 HDCF	OFF: N/A
DEF: 22 SCA, 49 CA, 9 HDCA	DEF: N/A
CGY3 L: D. Dube [$2,500] C: D. Ryan [$4,000] 2️⃣ R: J. Neal [$5,500] 2️⃣	VAN3 L: B. Leipsic [$2,700] C: B. Sutter [$3,600] R: T. Motte [$3,200]	CGY 3	Not a hard match.
Sample: No sample to use, all three are new to the team.	Sample: Sutter and Motte only, 126 mins in 2017-18.
OFF: N/A	OFF: 18 SCF, 42 CF, 7 HDCF
DEF: N/A	DEF: 25 SCA, 58 CA, 8 HDCA

Analysis:

Calgary 1 offers solid value in a strong matchup tonight. Mark Giordano is a great addition to any Calgary 1 stack. Calgary 2 should clean up against the bottom nine of the Canucks, which means a five or six man Calgary stack is more than playable. Neither third lines are worth consideration.

Anaheim Ducks @ San Jose Sharks

		Advantage	Matchup
ANA3 L: A. Cogliano [$3,800] C: S. Steel [$3,000] 2️⃣ R: P. Aberg [$N/A] 2️⃣	SJS1 L: T. Meier [$5,100] 2️⃣ C: J. Thornton [$4,300] 1️⃣ R: J. Pavelski [$6,600] 1️⃣	SJS 1	70/30 split for SJS 1 between ANA 3 and 2.
Sample: No sample to use. Steel and Aberg new to the team.	Sample: 233 mins in 2017-18.
OFF: N/A	OFF: 28 SCF, 66 CF, 10 HDCF
DEF: N/A	DEF: 28 SCA, 57 CA, 14 HDCA
ANA1 L: R. Rakell [$5,700] 1️⃣ C: R. Getzlaf [$5,300] 1️⃣ R: T. Terry [$4,400] 2️⃣	SJS2 L: T. Hertl [$5,300] 2️⃣ C: L. Couture [$6,200] 1️⃣ R: K. Labanc [$4,000]	Even	Hard match.
Sample: Getzlaf and Rakell only, 731 mins in 2017-18.	Sample: 236 mins in 2017-18.
OFF: 31 SCF, 60 CF, 13 HDCF	OFF: 29 SCF, 70 CF, 10 HDCF
DEF: 25 SCA, 50 CA, 10 HDCA	DEF: 22 SCA, 53 CA, 8 HDCA
ANA2 L: M. Comtois [$2,500] C: A. Henrique [$4,600] 1️⃣ R: J. Silfverberg [$4,800] 1️⃣	SJS3 L: E. Kane [$6,100] 2️⃣ C: A. Suomela [$3,500] R: J. Donskoi [$3,700] 2️⃣	SJS 3	70/30 split for SJS 3 between ANA 2 and 3.
Sample: Henrique and Silfvergberg only, 130 mins in 2017-18.	Sample:No sample to use. Kane and Dosnkoi played 99 minutes together but 93 of them came with Pavelski centering the line.
OFF: 26 SCF, 51 CF, 13 HDCF	OFF: N/A
DEF: 30 SCA, 64 CA, 13 HDCA	DEF: N/A

Analysis:

San Jose 1 should dodge Anaheim 1 at 5v5 and do well against their second and third lines. The assist-heavy Thornton helps keep them moderately priced. The $31,100 it costs to stack the full powerplay on DraftKings is worth the price of admission. They will be chalky tonight given all the hype surrounding the team and they are facing John Gibson in net, so buyer beware. Anaheim 1 draws a tough first matchup against San Jose 2 but offers decent value and should be somewhat of a contrarian play, giving them GPP appeal.

Suggested Stacks

1. Toronto 1
2. Calgary 1
3. San Jose 1

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