Picks: Atlanta Looks to End Skid at Home

Updated: November 23, 2009 at 1:45 am by Brock Seguin

4-8: We’re here to have fun, right?

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Tampa Bay Lightning +130 at Atlanta Thrashers -150

A quick one here.  The Lightning are likely to go with Antero Niittymaki, the league leader in GAA and SV%, and the Thrashers are likely to start Ondrej Pavelec, who is back on his game.  Both of these teams went under last night and I see more of the same tonight.  The Lightning have gone under the game total in 7 of Niittymaki’s 9 starts on the season and have pushed overtime in 5.  Pavelec traditionally goes over the game total but it’s up to the Lightning to start putting pucks past him.  Tampa Bay has the 2nd-worst road scoring, 2.1 goals per game, but Atlanta features the 3rd-best home offense, 3.7 goals per game.  It’ll take a big collapse by Tampa Bay to let Atlanta approach those numbers as Niittymaki is 13-0 with a 1.78 GAA and .938 SV% lifetime vs. Tampa Bay.  If we see other goalies than our likely starters, this game could very easily go over but 6 goals is a tall order for the best goalie in the league right now.
Pick: Under 6.0 goals +100

Fan Favourite Record: 4-8, -4.52

Betting results by category so far this season:

  • Money Line 47-53, -14.26
  • Puck Line 7-18, -7.1
  • Game Totals 42-31-1, +5.17

Atlanta Thrashers, Tampa Bay Lightning