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This post looks at which teams will have an advantage at 5v5. It looks at which lines the home-team will try and match-up against and which line could have an edge. It does not take power-play or goaltending into consideration.
- All totals are per 60 minutes of 5v5 ice time.
- SCF/SCA- Scoring chances for and against
- CF/CA – Corsi for and against
- HDCF/HDCA – High-danger Chances for and against
- Which lines the Home team is expected to be matched up against.
1️⃣ – Indicates PP1 Usage
2️⃣ – Indicates PP2 Usage
Philadelphia Flyers @ Ottawa Senators
Analysis: The Senators have juggled their lines since their home opener, which makes the matchups for tonight’s game difficult to predict. The Tierney line should see Philly 1 for the majority of their ice tmie, which is obviously a big win for Giroux and company. Ottawa 1 should dominate Philly 2 whenever they are on the ice together, but how much time they see against them is up in the air. The top-heavy nature of the Flyers’ attack means the Senators might not have a choice but to play Smith and Stone against the Flyers’ top line. Regardless of the matchups, Ottawa 1 and Philly 1 both make for viable stacks tonight. Both teams have suffered from sub-par goaltending, so this could turn into a high-scoring affair.
Vegas Golden Knights @ Washington Capitals
Analysis: The Golden Knights will look to get things back on track in this Stanley Cup Final rematch. Vegas’ new second-line has been strong at even strength and has the slight edge over Washington 1, both those numbers came alongside Paul Stastny. Haula has played well but transitioning to the middle against the likes of Kuznetsov and Ovechkin is a tall order. Vegas 1 and Washington 2 should play out to a wash tonight in what projects to be a relatively low-event matchup. Vegas 3 has a solid advantage over Washington 3 but they don’t see enough ice time to warrant serious consideration as a stack.
Arizona Coyotes @ Anaheim Ducks
Analysis: Given all the injuries they’re battling up front right now, the Ducks can’t be expected to do a lot of hard line-matching in this one. The matchups were thrown into the blender for Sunday’s home opener against the Red Wings. First-line centre Adam Henrique didn’t see more than 4 and a half minutes against any single Detroit forward. You can expect this trend to continue tonight, so you’ll have to consider all the potential matchups if you’re targeting this game. Anaheim 2’s sample is very small but it is all we have to go off of and it speaks to how bad Comtois and Silfverberg have been at even strength. Keep in mind that despite their failure to control the pace of play, the Ducks have somehow outscored their opponents 3-0 when their second line is on the ice. Arizona 1 and 2 both make for decent value stacks in this matchup.
- 1. PHI 1
- 2. OTT 1
- 3. WSH 1
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